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2:47 PM

GB - Cartmel - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
22.1f
Handicap Hurdle
Turf
Good
42.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Once-useful HOMME PUBLIC may be able to capitalise on a much-reduced mark on return to hurdles. He's narrowly preferred to High Dancer, who's an improved model for the Nicky Richards yard. Peaky Boy also looks interesting, returning to hurdles for the first time since his unbeaten (2-2) novice season.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Homme Public (Fr) silk

Useful hurdler/chaser at his best. No show last season but hinted at a revival when third in Bangor handicap chase on the back of another breathing operation latest. Reverts to hurdling on lowest mark in years and may well capitalise in a change of headgear.

1st Pick
3

Homme Public (Fr)

Jockey: Jack Tudor

Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

J: Jack Tudor

T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

100---10%10/1

Analysis

Useful hurdler/chaser at his best. No show last season but hinted at a revival when third in Bangor handicap chase on the back of another breathing operation latest. Reverts to hurdling on lowest mark in years and may well capitalise in a change of headgear.

7
High Dancer silk

Winner of 21f maiden at Haydock for James Ewart last spring. Improved in cheekpieces for current yard, making amends for a near miss at Market Rasen (traded 1.01 in running) with a decisive win at Hexham (2m) last time. Going the right way and can make a bold bid back up in trip.

2nd Pick
7

High Dancer

Jockey: Danny Mcmenamin

Trainer: Nicky Richards

J: Danny Mcmenamin

T: Nicky Richards

99---17%5/1

Analysis

Winner of 21f maiden at Haydock for James Ewart last spring. Improved in cheekpieces for current yard, making amends for a near miss at Market Rasen (traded 1.01 in running) with a decisive win at Hexham (2m) last time. Going the right way and can make a bold bid back up in trip.

2
Peaky Boy (Ire) silk

Borderline useful novice hurdler in 2024, winning both starts at Cheltenham. Has shaped as if in good form over fences this year and no surprise to see him back over hurdles following a mixed round of jumping last time. Interesting with blinkers added for first start in a handicap in this sphere.

3rd Pick
2

Peaky Boy (Ire)

Jockey: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

J: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

T: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

98---8%12/1

Analysis

Borderline useful novice hurdler in 2024, winning both starts at Cheltenham. Has shaped as if in good form over fences this year and no surprise to see him back over hurdles following a mixed round of jumping last time. Interesting with blinkers added for first start in a handicap in this sphere.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

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