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1:00 PM

GB - Cartmel - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
22.1f
Maiden Hurdle
Turf
Good
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NEWBROOK DIAMOND sets the standard and can follow up his belated success at Wexford. There's likely better to come from both Viscountess Nelson and Rebel Tribesman, who stand out as the main dangers.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Newbrook Diamond (Ire) silk

Point winner. Fairly useful form in Irish maidens last season while looking less than straightforward and didn't need to improve when finally off the mark under positive ride at Wexford last time. Longer trip unlikely to be an issue, and a similar performance should be enough to defy a penalty.

1st Pick
1

Newbrook Diamond (Ire)

Jockey: Sam Ewing

Trainer: Gordon Elliott, Ireland

J: Sam Ewing

T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland

100---56%4/5

Analysis

Point winner. Fairly useful form in Irish maidens last season while looking less than straightforward and didn't need to improve when finally off the mark under positive ride at Wexford last time. Longer trip unlikely to be an issue, and a similar performance should be enough to defy a penalty.

3
Viscountess Nelson (Ire) silk

Won sole start in points. Built on hurdling debut promise to land the odds in novice at Perth (2½m) and probably should have defied a penalty at Fontwell (19f) latest. Will need to improve again for the experience.

2nd Pick
3

Viscountess Nelson (Ire)

Jockey: Mr Daniel Williams

Trainer: Nicky Henderson

J: Mr Daniel Williams

T: Nicky Henderson

96---34%2/1

Analysis

Won sole start in points. Built on hurdling debut promise to land the odds in novice at Perth (2½m) and probably should have defied a penalty at Fontwell (19f) latest. Will need to improve again for the experience.

2
Rebel Tribesman (Ire) silk

Ex-Irish recruit who finished third in point prior to making successful debut in Aintree bumper. Landed the odds at the third attempt over hurdles in Warwick maiden (19f) in late-May. Longer trip ought to bring about improvement, and he should be in the mix under a penalty.

3rd Pick
2

Rebel Tribesman (Ire)

Jockey: Gavin Sheehan

Trainer: Jamie Snowden

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Jamie Snowden

93---34%2/1

Analysis

Ex-Irish recruit who finished third in point prior to making successful debut in Aintree bumper. Landed the odds at the third attempt over hurdles in Warwick maiden (19f) in late-May. Longer trip ought to bring about improvement, and he should be in the mix under a penalty.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.