NZ - Awapuni Synthetic - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.6f

Maiden

Synthetic

9.9K

VIEW

Verdict

RICHARD FARRELL (1) was run down when trying to make all in his penultimate start here, and then made up late ground when finishing a well-beaten second on this track 2 weeks ago, both times over 1 ¹/16m. The extra 2 ¼f is ideal, and he can go one better. UNUSUAL NUGGET (2) has been a touch dour in his last couple of starts, and his fitness is not in doubt. He will look to settle a touch closer to the pace now that he has a decent draw, and in a modest field, he is the main threat to the top pick. LUCKYTOBEHERE (5) stuck on gamely for third in a similar field here a fortnight ago, and she will be at her peak fitness now. Her first win is not far away. CARBON CREDIT (3) plodded on for fourth fresh up over this trip, and then never got warm over 1 ¹/16m last time out. He is worth another chance. WHERE'S ANGE (8) has picked the right race to make her debut, and the Fannin stable is flying at the moment. She is sure to have plenty of market support.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 8 at this track on July 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 8 len behind Al Passo carrying 125lbs at $1.60. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 8 at this track on June 21 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.0 len behind Romanin carrying 125lbs at $11.50. Overdue and gets his chance. 1st Pick 1 Richard Farrell Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Suzy Gordon J: Unknown Jockey T: Suzy Gordon	176	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 8 at this track on July 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 8 len behind Al Passo carrying 125lbs at $1.60. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 8 at this track on June 21 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.0 len behind Romanin carrying 125lbs at $11.50. Overdue and gets his chance.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at this track on June 21 over 1 5/16m, 1.4 len behind Abeecee carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Before that 4th of 9 at Hastings on May 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Billy carrying 129lbs at $7.30. Key runner on his best form and can feature in the finish. 2nd Pick 2 Unusual Nugget Jockey: Jim Chung Trainer: Fraser Auret J: Jim Chung T: Fraser Auret	102	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at this track on June 21 over 1 5/16m, 1.4 len behind Abeecee carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Before that 4th of 9 at Hastings on May 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Billy carrying 129lbs at $7.30. Key runner on his best form and can feature in the finish.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 13 at Wanganui on June 13 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind On Shaw with 125lbs at $29.10. Second run from a spell sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at this track on July 3 over 1 5/16m, 1.1 len behind Street Appeal carrying 120lbs at $7.10. Poised to break through. 3rd Pick 5 Luckytobehere Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Suzy Gordon J: Liam Kauri T: Suzy Gordon	82	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 13 at Wanganui on June 13 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind On Shaw with 125lbs at $29.10. Second run from a spell sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at this track on July 3 over 1 5/16m, 1.1 len behind Street Appeal carrying 120lbs at $7.10. Poised to break through.

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