NZ - Avondale - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CHASING WARRIOR (2) has improved in each of his 3 starts, and is the likely pace maker here. He drops down in class, and he can take them all the way. ZENZERO GIRL (7) did not make up any ground off a slow tempo at Te Rapa 11 days ago, and an extra 1f here will suit her. She drops in class, and with the aid of a 9lbs claim, he is worth another chance. ATLANTA GOLD (9) will be trying 7f for the first time, and after making ground over 11f at Te Rapa 11 days ago, she should be right in the finish. Each way value. STAGE THREE (10) resumes from a spell, and she has won fresh up in the past. Follow the market moves. KORO'S PRINCESS (13) had no luck last start, so don't risk her in this easier assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently 2nd of 12 at Tauranga on June 27 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Purosangue with 119lbs at $17.70. Before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Fleeting Glimpse with 120lbs at $14.50. Can improve again. Draws a nice alley and rates highly. 1st Pick 2 Chasing Warrior Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley J: Jack Taplin T: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley	106	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 12 at Tauranga on June 27 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Purosangue with 119lbs at $17.70. Before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Fleeting Glimpse with 120lbs at $14.50. Can improve again. Draws a nice alley and rates highly.
4	Most recently ran second last of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Illustrious carrying 122lbs at $6.90. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 5 ¾f, on a wet track, nose behind Jelly Roll with 130lbs at $4.50. Watch for sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 4 Timetoplaythegame Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: David Greene J: Non Runner T: David Greene	142	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently ran second last of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Illustrious carrying 122lbs at $6.90. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 5 ¾f, on a wet track, nose behind Jelly Roll with 130lbs at $4.50. Watch for sharp improvement.
7	Most recently ran last of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Durrani carrying 125lbs at $52.20. The start before that 5th of 14 at Matamata on June 14 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Quondo with 125lbs at $45.60. Nicely placed and worth another chance. 3rd Pick 7 Zenzero Girl Jockey: Hyeontaek Oh Trainer: Grant & Tana Shaw J: Hyeontaek Oh T: Grant & Tana Shaw	76	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Most recently ran last of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Durrani carrying 125lbs at $52.20. The start before that 5th of 14 at Matamata on June 14 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Quondo with 125lbs at $45.60. Nicely placed and worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.