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2:44 AM

NZ - Avondale - Race 5

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
9.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STAY FROSTY (1) has tried hard in all of his 4 starts to date, and he was a brave third as a warm favourite at Tauranga just over 3 weeks ago, and despite copping a tough gate here, he is still the one to beat. SHE MEANS BUSINESS (11) had trialled up well enough prior to finishing fourth on debut at Matamata 17 days ago. She will naturally improve with racing, and Craig Grylls has picked up the ride. Stick with her. Can win. AL AZHAR (9) set the pace and weakened in her penultimate start, and then was just off the lead when running on late for second at Matamata 4 weeks ago. A wet track is no problem, and she can go one better. SAATCHI (12) has been freshened up since a modest effort at Pukekohe 6 weeks ago. She has been close up in a trial since then, and can finish a lot closer here. Each-way value. KIND OF BLUE (7) has gone very close to breaking through, and was only beaten by a nose in her penultimate start. With luck from a wide gate, she can figure in the first four again.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Stay Frosty silk
1st Pick
1

Stay Frosty

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Non Runner

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

132---17%

Scratched

2
Erase silk
2

Erase

Jockey: Joe Nishizuka

Trainer: Stephen Ralph

J: Joe Nishizuka

T: Stephen Ralph

52---2%50/1
3
Loose Change silk
3

Loose Change

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Moira & Kieran Murdoch

J: Non Runner

T: Moira & Kieran Murdoch

85---3%

Scratched

4
Explosive Force silk
4

Explosive Force

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Clinton Isdale

J: Craig Grylls

T: Clinton Isdale

41---3%33/1
5
Romantic Patch silk
5

Romantic Patch

Jockey: Sam Mcnab

Trainer: Margaret Falconer

J: Sam Mcnab

T: Margaret Falconer

71---8%13/1
6
Platinum Patch silk
6

Platinum Patch

Jockey: Ethan Jones

Trainer: Catherine Cameron

J: Ethan Jones

T: Catherine Cameron

57---2%50/1
7
Kind Of Blue silk
7

Kind Of Blue

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Pam Gerard

J: Non Runner

T: Pam Gerard

158---8%

Scratched

8
Pinky Pie silk
8

Pinky Pie

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Non Runner

T: Stephen Marsh

75---4%

Scratched

9
Al Azhar silk
3rd Pick
9

Al Azhar

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

91---11%17/2
10
Rybakina silk
10

Rybakina

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

J: Non Runner

T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

82---5%

Scratched

11
She Means Business silk
2nd Pick
11

She Means Business

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Non Runner

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

78---16%

Scratched

12
Saatchi silk
12

Saatchi

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Non Runner

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

127---17%

Scratched

13
Calypso silk
13

Calypso

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Cody Cole

J: Non Runner

T: Cody Cole

58---8%

Scratched

14
Chaos Creator silk
14

Chaos Creator

Jockey: Elen Nicholas

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Elen Nicholas

T: Andrew Forsman

165---8%12/1
15
Jester Queen silk
15

Jester Queen

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Jenna Mahoney

J: Samantha Collett

T: Jenna Mahoney

36---2%50/1
16
Ring The Banker silk
16

Ring The Banker

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Alex Forbes

J: Non Runner

T: Alex Forbes

60---2%

Scratched

17
Outrageous silk
17

Outrageous

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Moira & Kieran Murdoch

J: Non Runner

T: Moira & Kieran Murdoch

58---2%

Scratched

18
Hello Havana silk
18

Hello Havana

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Kylie Hoskin

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Kylie Hoskin

61---2%50/1
19
Rarawa Ray silk
19

Rarawa Ray

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Kenny Rae

J: Non Runner

T: Kenny Rae

70---2%

Scratched

20
Pine Leaf silk
20

Pine Leaf

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Non Runner

T: Andrew Forsman

70---4%

Scratched

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.