NZ - Avondale - Race 5

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

9.7K

VIEW

Verdict

STAY FROSTY (1) has tried hard in all of his 4 starts to date, and he was a brave third as a warm favourite at Tauranga just over 3 weeks ago, and despite copping a tough gate here, he is still the one to beat. SHE MEANS BUSINESS (11) had trialled up well enough prior to finishing fourth on debut at Matamata 17 days ago. She will naturally improve with racing, and Craig Grylls has picked up the ride. Stick with her. Can win. AL AZHAR (9) set the pace and weakened in her penultimate start, and then was just off the lead when running on late for second at Matamata 4 weeks ago. A wet track is no problem, and she can go one better. SAATCHI (12) has been freshened up since a modest effort at Pukekohe 6 weeks ago. She has been close up in a trial since then, and can finish a lot closer here. Each-way value. KIND OF BLUE (7) has gone very close to breaking through, and was only beaten by a nose in her penultimate start. With luck from a wide gate, she can figure in the first four again.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1st Pick 1 Stay Frosty Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Non Runner T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	132	-	-	-	17%	Scratched
2	2 Erase Jockey: Joe Nishizuka Trainer: Stephen Ralph J: Joe Nishizuka T: Stephen Ralph	52	-	-	-	2%	50/1
3	3 Loose Change Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Moira & Kieran Murdoch J: Non Runner T: Moira & Kieran Murdoch	85	-	-	-	3%	Scratched
4	4 Explosive Force Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Clinton Isdale J: Craig Grylls T: Clinton Isdale	41	-	-	-	3%	33/1
5	5 Romantic Patch Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Margaret Falconer J: Sam Mcnab T: Margaret Falconer	71	-	-	-	8%	13/1
6	6 Platinum Patch Jockey: Ethan Jones Trainer: Catherine Cameron J: Ethan Jones T: Catherine Cameron	57	-	-	-	2%	50/1
7	7 Kind Of Blue Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Pam Gerard J: Non Runner T: Pam Gerard	158	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
8	8 Pinky Pie Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Non Runner T: Stephen Marsh	75	-	-	-	4%	Scratched
9	3rd Pick 9 Al Azhar Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	91	-	-	-	11%	17/2
10	10 Rybakina Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Non Runner T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	82	-	-	-	5%	Scratched
11	2nd Pick 11 She Means Business Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	78	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
12	12 Saatchi Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Non Runner T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	127	-	-	-	17%	Scratched
13	13 Calypso Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Cody Cole J: Non Runner T: Cody Cole	58	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
14	14 Chaos Creator Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Elen Nicholas T: Andrew Forsman	165	-	-	-	8%	12/1
15	15 Jester Queen Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Jenna Mahoney J: Samantha Collett T: Jenna Mahoney	36	-	-	-	2%	50/1
16	16 Ring The Banker Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Alex Forbes J: Non Runner T: Alex Forbes	60	-	-	-	2%	Scratched
17	17 Outrageous Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Moira & Kieran Murdoch J: Non Runner T: Moira & Kieran Murdoch	58	-	-	-	2%	Scratched
18	18 Hello Havana Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Kylie Hoskin J: Matt Cartwright T: Kylie Hoskin	61	-	-	-	2%	50/1
19	19 Rarawa Ray Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kenny Rae J: Non Runner T: Kenny Rae	70	-	-	-	2%	Scratched
20	20 Pine Leaf Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Non Runner T: Andrew Forsman	70	-	-	-	4%	Scratched