NZ - Avondale - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

9.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MARZENIE (8) is edging closer to an overdue win, and she finished a game runner-up at Matamata 4 weeks ago. She will again race handy from a good draw, and this time, she can have the last say. On top. RANDOM MISS (10) was less than a length from the winner when finishing third as the favourite on debut at Pukekohe nearly 4 weeks ago. She maps to receive the run of the race from the pole position, and with the natural improvement that is expected second up, she can take this out. Follow your money. TURFQUAKE (5) raced well after finishing third on debut, and he will be a lot stronger after his spell. A recent trial win here has him on target for a bold run fresh. Check the market moves. DON'T TELL THE MRS (4) resumes from a spell that would have done him the world of good. He won a trial here late last month, and he will also be ready to rumble fresh. Don't risk him. ALMAN D'ORO (6) has been improving at the trials, and if he is not too green on debut, then he won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Rumours carrying 126lbs at $2.70. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Le Jacques Cartier with 122lbs at $6.70. All set to open her account. 1st Pick 8 Marzenie Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Non Runner T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	163	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Rumours carrying 126lbs at $2.70. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Le Jacques Cartier with 122lbs at $6.70. All set to open her account.
10	Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on March 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Celtic Tycoon carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Sure to play a major role. 2nd Pick 10 Random Miss Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Joe Doyle T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	165	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on March 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Celtic Tycoon carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Sure to play a major role.
5	Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at Te Aroha November 11 over 7f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Ploy carrying 126lbs at $15.10. On debut third of 7 at Waverley 3yo Mdn-Sw September 28 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Our Grecia Girl with 127lbs at $2.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return. 3rd Pick 5 Turfquake Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Non Runner T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	61	-	-	-	13%	Scratched
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at Te Aroha November 11 over 7f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Ploy carrying 126lbs at $15.10. On debut third of 7 at Waverley 3yo Mdn-Sw September 28 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Our Grecia Girl with 127lbs at $2.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.