NZ - Avondale - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

BLACK DIAMOND (7) gave a great sight in front on debut at Arawa Park when fighting on bravely off the front to hold on to second, finishing half a length from the winner. She cops a wider gate this time, but will have the services of Craig Grylls, and she can go one better. FORESTER (1) has been thereabouts in 3 of her 4 career starts, including a solid effort for fourth on good ground at Tauranga nearly 7 weeks ago. He probably prefers it wet, and if not in need of the run, he can figure in the top 3. GOLDEN POINT (2) ran his best race yet when resuming with a second at Te Aroha 10 days ago. He hit the line strongly that day and will naturally improve with more racing. Stick with him on an each-way basis. ROYAL CANTER (4) was given plenty of trial experience prior to a sound run for seventh on debut at Arawa Park where he weakened in the run home after trying to make all the running. He handles it wet and he can finish a lot closer this time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At debut, set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.6 len behind Noble Cabello carrying 127lbs at $11. Sure to run well. 1st Pick 7 Black Diamond Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Michael Mcnab T: Andrew Forsman	125	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At debut, set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.6 len behind Noble Cabello carrying 127lbs at $11. Sure to run well.
1	Recent form sound. Returns from a 47-day let-up. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Tauranga on May 29 over 7f, 4 len behind Misissipi Gambler carrying 125lbs at $4.10. The run before that 2nd of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Girl Code with 125lbs at $15.70. Great chance to break through. 2nd Pick 1 Forester Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Annabelle Johnson J: George Rooke T: Annabelle Johnson	73	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Returns from a 47-day let-up. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Tauranga on May 29 over 7f, 4 len behind Misissipi Gambler carrying 125lbs at $4.10. The run before that 2nd of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Girl Code with 125lbs at $15.70. Great chance to break through.
2	Second-up. First-up after two months 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on July 5 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Drommy with 127lbs at $8.60. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Whistler carrying 125lbs at $17.20. Fitter and is a leading contender. 3rd Pick 2 Golden Point Jockey: Ace Lawson-Carroll Trainer: Annabelle Johnson J: Ace Lawson-Carroll T: Annabelle Johnson	118	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on July 5 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Drommy with 127lbs at $8.60. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Whistler carrying 125lbs at $17.20. Fitter and is a leading contender.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.