AU2 - Charlton - Race 8

Harness

13 Runners

Unknown

Synthetic

5.2K

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Verdict

HUNGRY HOGARTH (3) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when 5 metres from the winner in third over 1 m at Maryborough. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run. This looks a sterner test than last time but on his best form he is good enough to take this out. SERENE ROCK (6) finished fifth last start over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 6 metres, after a modest sixth at Swan Hill the run prior. Steps up a level but he is capable of running a much better race. ALIZA HILL (7) is on the radar after her last-start sixth over 1 m at Maryborough a week ago. CELESTIAL ZODIAC (10) must be included on the back of some solid recent form, most recently when second at Stawell over 1 ¹/16m.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Two back was well beaten into second after being driven well back, behind Redbank Molly at Maryborough over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 49 on August 25 at $2.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 5 m finishing third after a quick start, behind Grinning Beach Boy at Maryborough over 1 m in a NR up to 55 on September 22 at $7. Likely to measure up. 1st Pick 3 Hungry Hogarth Jockey: Hannah Lewis Trainer: Michael Gadsden J: Hannah Lewis T: Michael Gadsden	77	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Two back was well beaten into second after being driven well back, behind Redbank Molly at Maryborough over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 49 on August 25 at $2.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 5 m finishing third after a quick start, behind Grinning Beach Boy at Maryborough over 1 m in a NR up to 55 on September 22 at $7. Likely to measure up.
6	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 5th (Fr5) over 1 m after showing early pace at Maryborough beaten 6 m by Grinning Beach Boy (2:03.80) in NR up to 55 on September 22 at $2.70. The run before 6th (Fr2) over 1m at Swan Hill, at the bell was 5th-9.6 beaten 12 m by Hoorah Philtra (2:43.50) in NR 55 to 64 on September 2 at $18. Capable of bouncing back. 2nd Pick 6 Serene Rock Jockey: Ellen Tormey Trainer: J Costa J: Ellen Tormey T: J Costa	76	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 5th (Fr5) over 1 m after showing early pace at Maryborough beaten 6 m by Grinning Beach Boy (2:03.80) in NR up to 55 on September 22 at $2.70. The run before 6th (Fr2) over 1m at Swan Hill, at the bell was 5th-9.6 beaten 12 m by Hoorah Philtra (2:43.50) in NR 55 to 64 on September 2 at $18. Capable of bouncing back.
7	Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 6th (Sr2) over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 7 m by Grinning Beach Boy (2:03.80) in NR up to 55 on September 22 at $4.40. The start before 8th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Riverina Paceway beaten 45 m by Fear The Pain (2:03.60) in NR up to 60 M on September 12 at $17. One of the leading players on her best form. 3rd Pick 7 Aliza Hill Jockey: James Herbertson Trainer: M A Gledhill J: James Herbertson T: M A Gledhill	75	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 6th (Sr2) over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 7 m by Grinning Beach Boy (2:03.80) in NR up to 55 on September 22 at $4.40. The start before 8th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Riverina Paceway beaten 45 m by Fear The Pain (2:03.60) in NR up to 60 M on September 12 at $17. One of the leading players on her best form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.