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3:43 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 4

Harness
12 Runners
10.1f
Unknown
Synthetic
9.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VINCENTIUS MAXIMUS (9) was solid when fourth in a higher-graded race last week and owns a decent record at this circuit and distance. Drawn to enjoy a nice run and if he gets the gaps he looks up to winning this. SPUNKYS GOTSECRETS (5) has been racing well of late. Placed for the third time in his last five appearances at this venue when he finished third last week, beaten 4 metres. Capable of another big performance. RACING PAULA (2) is aided by a low draw and can be competitive with her A-game. LOUIE DADA (4) produced a respectable fourth at his most recent appearance here and has a good strike rate at this longer distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Vincentius Maximus silk

Four-year-old gelding who has plenty of ability. Unlucky last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ¼m at this track, at the bell was 3rd-4.17 beaten 7 m by Quaddie Vc (2:26.00) in NR up to 90 on November 14 at $12. Not out of this despite the second-row draw. Top chance.

1st Pick
9

Vincentius Maximus

Jockey: Michael Formosa

Trainer: Michael Formosa

J: Michael Formosa

T: Michael Formosa

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Four-year-old gelding who has plenty of ability. Unlucky last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ¼m at this track, at the bell was 3rd-4.17 beaten 7 m by Quaddie Vc (2:26.00) in NR up to 90 on November 14 at $12. Not out of this despite the second-row draw. Top chance.

5
Spunkys Gotsecrets silk

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fifth after being driven well back, behind Rumour Stride at this track over 1m in a NR up to 53 on November 7 at $2.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4 m finishing third behind War Western at this track over 1m in a NR up to 52 on November 14 at $2.80. Chief contender.

2nd Pick
5

Spunkys Gotsecrets

Jockey: Blake Hughes

Trainer: D T Reay

J: Blake Hughes

T: D T Reay

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fifth after being driven well back, behind Rumour Stride at this track over 1m in a NR up to 53 on November 7 at $2.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4 m finishing third behind War Western at this track over 1m in a NR up to 52 on November 14 at $2.80. Chief contender.

2
Racing Paula silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Tamworth, beaten 21 m by Fast Tracker (1:56.20) in NR up to 65 on November 13 at $5.50. The start before 5th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Tamworth beaten 30 m by Ashleys Blue Chip (2:21.80) in NR up to 75 on October 30 at $7. Nicely placed to return to form.

3rd Pick
2

Racing Paula

Jockey: Tom Ison

Trainer: Tom Ison

J: Tom Ison

T: Tom Ison

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Tamworth, beaten 21 m by Fast Tracker (1:56.20) in NR up to 65 on November 13 at $5.50. The start before 5th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Tamworth beaten 30 m by Ashleys Blue Chip (2:21.80) in NR up to 75 on October 30 at $7. Nicely placed to return to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.