AU2 - Menangle - Race 8

Harness

10 Runners

Unknown

Synthetic

7.0K

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Verdict

VINCENZO (9) was a beaten favourite in a stronger race last start but had put the writing on the wall with placings in his previous two attempts at this circuit and distance. Has to contend with another wide draw but this is a nice drop in grade so he should prove tough to beat. FASTING (2) produced a decent effort for fourth last start at Newcastle, beaten 5 metres. Draws well so could pose a serious challenge. VAN BASTEN (1) has been solid from wider barriers of late and should get his chance from the inside draw. MICK DANGER (8) draws wide but has been racing well, finishing fourth in in the Winter Gift Final last start after a second in the heats.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Last start 7th (Fr8) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 9th-16.7 beaten 5.5 m by Carramar Olam (1:52.70) on July 11 at $2.80. Before that, a solid effort despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr9) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 9th-17.53 beaten 1.2 m by Captain Bart (1:52.00) on July 7 at $3.20. Nicely placed to take this out. 1st Pick 9 Vincenzo Jockey: Jye Coney Trainer: David Thorn J: Jye Coney T: David Thorn	77	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start 7th (Fr8) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 9th-16.7 beaten 5.5 m by Carramar Olam (1:52.70) on July 11 at $2.80. Before that, a solid effort despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr9) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 9th-17.53 beaten 1.2 m by Captain Bart (1:52.00) on July 7 at $3.20. Nicely placed to take this out.
2	Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1m at Newcastle was 6th-9.56 at the bell, beaten 5 m by Pure Grunt (1:54.50) on July 17 at $3.60. Before that, 9th (Fr2) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 4th-7.99 beaten 7 m by Carramar Olam (1:52.70) on July 11 at $9. Well placed, should prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 2 Fasting Jockey: Robert Morris Trainer: Kerryann Morris J: Robert Morris T: Kerryann Morris	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1m at Newcastle was 6th-9.56 at the bell, beaten 5 m by Pure Grunt (1:54.50) on July 17 at $3.60. Before that, 9th (Fr2) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 4th-7.99 beaten 7 m by Carramar Olam (1:52.70) on July 11 at $9. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.
1	Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed at this track, at the bell was 9th-22.49 beaten 18 m by Go Without (1:50.90) on July 14 at $13. At the previous start 6th (Sr2) over 1 ¼m at Newcastle was 9th-16.7 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Cote Dazur (2:24.70) on July 10 at $19. Watch for a far better effort this time. 3rd Pick 1 Van Basten Jockey: Chris Geary Trainer: Ian Wilson J: Chris Geary T: Ian Wilson	74	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed at this track, at the bell was 9th-22.49 beaten 18 m by Go Without (1:50.90) on July 14 at $13. At the previous start 6th (Sr2) over 1 ¼m at Newcastle was 9th-16.7 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Cote Dazur (2:24.70) on July 10 at $19. Watch for a far better effort this time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.