AU2 - Charlton - Race 6

Harness

10 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.2K

VIEW

Verdict

HES RUNAWAY BAY (1) finished second last start over 1m at Geelong, beaten 18 metres. That was an improvement on the unplaced effort at Cranbourne the run before. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run. Leading hope if things go his way. ASPEN BELLE (9) broke last start and finished 13 metres from the winner in fifth over 1m at Cranbourne in an inauspicious start to her career. Meets a similar line up so she is sure to be a force if the manners improve. I AM SKYE CHIOLA (2) is better than her last-start ninth over 1 5/16m at Maryborough. PARDRAY (3) showed pleasing improvement last time out when third over 1 m at Bendigo.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Two back was well beaten into sixth after being driven well back, behind Laras Dream at Cranbourne over 1m on June 14 at $4.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into second behind Kyvalley Dixon at Geelong over 1m on June 19 at $3.90. Big chance to find the winners' list. 1st Pick 1 Hes Runaway Bay Jockey: Matthew Craven Trainer: Matthew Craven J: Matthew Craven T: Matthew Craven	77	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Two back was well beaten into sixth after being driven well back, behind Laras Dream at Cranbourne over 1m on June 14 at $4.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into second behind Kyvalley Dixon at Geelong over 1m on June 19 at $3.90. Big chance to find the winners' list.
9	Four-year-old mare lining up for the second time. At debut broke in score up and was out of position at the start 5th (Fr2) over 1m at Cranbourne, at the bell was 7th-17.6 beaten 13 m by Miss Kommunication (2:02.30) on June 28 at $5. Better than the last run so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 9 Aspen Belle Jockey: Jack Laugher Trainer: Anthony Spiteri J: Jack Laugher T: Anthony Spiteri	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Four-year-old mare lining up for the second time. At debut broke in score up and was out of position at the start 5th (Fr2) over 1m at Cranbourne, at the bell was 7th-17.6 beaten 13 m by Miss Kommunication (2:02.30) on June 28 at $5. Better than the last run so worth another chance.
2	Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into ninth behind Kickabarrel at Maryborough over 1 5/16m on June 29 at $6.50. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1m at Horsham, at the bell was 2nd-3.6 beaten 19 m by Roseofthewinds (2:47.10) on June 22 at $11. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw. 3rd Pick 2 I Am Skye Chiola Jockey: Luke Sutherland Trainer: Janet Exell J: Luke Sutherland T: Janet Exell	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into ninth behind Kickabarrel at Maryborough over 1 5/16m on June 29 at $6.50. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1m at Horsham, at the bell was 2nd-3.6 beaten 19 m by Roseofthewinds (2:47.10) on June 22 at $11. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.