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5:02 AM

AU1 - Albion Park - Race 5

Harness
8 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BORSELLINO (1) had been coming from wider barriers so relished the ace draw when he led and scored by 2.7 metres at this circuit and distance last week. Starts from the inside again so is a big chance to make it two on the trot. SWEET ADDITION (4) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when third at this circuit and distance. Draws wider but can measure up in this line up. SOHO CASABLANCA (3) led and faded last time but was beaten only 3m here prior so is capable of better. ROCKSNGEMS (2) should strip fitter with a couple of runs under the belt this time in and draws well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Borsellino silk

Last start won by 2.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr1) at this track (1:58.20) beating Merry Jewel in 3yo+ NR 49 to 56 on January 23 at $2.80. Big chance to go back-to-back.

1st Pick
1

Borsellino

Jockey: Taleah Mcmullen

Trainer: Mitchell Dawson

J: Taleah Mcmullen

T: Mitchell Dawson

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start won by 2.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr1) at this track (1:58.20) beating Merry Jewel in 3yo+ NR 49 to 56 on January 23 at $2.80. Big chance to go back-to-back.

4
Sweet Addition silk

Fair performance when beaten by 4 m finishing fourth after showing early speed, behind Aurora Joy at this track over 1 m in a 4yo+ B 5 NR 55 or better M on January 17 at $1.33. Then a handy effort when beaten by 9 m finishing third after showing early speed, behind Sergios Rocket at this track over 1 m in a 4yo+ B 5 NR 55 or better M on January 24 at $2.25. Looks ready to win.

2nd Pick
4

Sweet Addition

Jockey: Tom Callaghan

Trainer: Chantal Turpin

J: Tom Callaghan

T: Chantal Turpin

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Fair performance when beaten by 4 m finishing fourth after showing early speed, behind Aurora Joy at this track over 1 m in a 4yo+ B 5 NR 55 or better M on January 17 at $1.33. Then a handy effort when beaten by 9 m finishing third after showing early speed, behind Sergios Rocket at this track over 1 m in a 4yo+ B 5 NR 55 or better M on January 24 at $2.25. Looks ready to win.

3
Soho Casablanca silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 9th (Fr3) over 1 m after showing early pace at this track beaten 30 m by Mullum Hank (1:55.40) in 3yo+ NR up to 75 on January 13 at $5.50. The run prior 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 3 m by Daisy Diana (2:33.00) in 3yo+ NR up to 70 on January 6 at $12. No surprise to see him bounce back to form.

3rd Pick
3

Soho Casablanca

Jockey: Pete Mcmullen

Trainer: Mark Dux

J: Pete Mcmullen

T: Mark Dux

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 9th (Fr3) over 1 m after showing early pace at this track beaten 30 m by Mullum Hank (1:55.40) in 3yo+ NR up to 75 on January 13 at $5.50. The run prior 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 3 m by Daisy Diana (2:33.00) in 3yo+ NR up to 70 on January 6 at $12. No surprise to see him bounce back to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.