NZ - Ashburton - Race 9

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

10.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BALLISTIC MISS (11) was out of the money when making her South Island debut here nearly 3 weeks ago, but was not far away from the top 4 placings. She cops a wide gate again, but will find this easier, and with Tina Comignaghi keeping the faith, we will put her on top in this. UGO (2) is a capable winter performer that has been in good form on wet tracks through the summer. He won't lack fitness, and despite dropping back to a mile, he can figure in the top 4 here. SAUVAGE (6) has had excuses in his last couple of runs from bad draws. He has winning form on the track and is well worth including in all top 4 combos at a price. SACRED DIOR (10) resumes from a short spell with the inform Corey Campbell in the saddle, she is capable of figuring in the top placing in an even field. RICHIE'S DREAM (5) has shown some improvement in her last couple of games, and Bruno Queiroz picks up the ride for the first time, and he could help where it matters most. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Second run back. First-up after three months 11th of 13 at this track on February 20 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Cool 'N' Fast carrying 126lbs at $9.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Matamata on October 17 over 1m, on a wet track, long-neck behind Crackercol with 126lbs at $4.40. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement. 1st Pick 11 Ballistic Miss Jockey: Tina Comignaghi Trainer: Anna Furlong J: Tina Comignaghi T: Anna Furlong	184	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 11th of 13 at this track on February 20 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Cool 'N' Fast carrying 126lbs at $9.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Matamata on October 17 over 1m, on a wet track, long-neck behind Crackercol with 126lbs at $4.40. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement.
2	At the latest run 6th of 10 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 8 len behind Court Of Appeal with 123lbs at $7.50. The run before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 4 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4.5 len behind Akenehi carrying 123lbs at $17. Is capable on his day and is not out of it. 2nd Pick 2 Ugo Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Anna Furlong J: Jack Taplin T: Anna Furlong	128	-	-	-	19%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 10 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 8 len behind Court Of Appeal with 123lbs at $7.50. The run before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 4 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4.5 len behind Akenehi carrying 123lbs at $17. Is capable on his day and is not out of it.
6	Last start settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Villasanti carrying 123lbs at $11.10. Before that 8th of 17 at Riccarton Park on January 14 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Akenehi carrying 129lbs at $10.50. Capable of a big run. 3rd Pick 6 Sauvage Jockey: Kate Hercock Trainer: Sarah & Matthew Smith J: Kate Hercock T: Sarah & Matthew Smith	82	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Villasanti carrying 123lbs at $11.10. Before that 8th of 17 at Riccarton Park on January 14 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Akenehi carrying 129lbs at $10.50. Capable of a big run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.