NZ - Ashburton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

LADY GEORGIANA (12) peaked on her last run late when finishing eighth on the Riccarton poly track nearly 3 weeks ago. She has the visor blinkers on this time, and despite drawing wide, she is capable of winning a race like this. Stick with her. EIGHT LUCKY PRAWNS (1) finally had some luck, and boomed home late to score by a nose on the Riccarton poly track last time out. He is likely to get back again after drawing wide this time, but if the tempo is strong again, then he can repeat the dose. MISS SETH (5) just battled fresh up at Ellerslie nearly a fortnight ago, and will find this company more to her liking. She is nicely placed after a 7lbs claim, and can improve quickly. Each way. LILLY (4) is fourth up from a spell, and ready to show some worthwhile form. Include in all combinations. MY SHARONA (7) was an overdue maiden winner at Cromwell nearly 4 weeks ago, and now that the penny has dropped, she can go on with it.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
12	Most recently 8th of 14 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on December 5 over 7f, 5 len behind Eight Lucky Prawns with 122lbs at $5.30. Before that second last of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Charm Manhattan with 121lbs at $3.50. Senior jockey Billy Jacobson replaces a claiming apprentice for this assignment. 1st Pick 12 Lady Georgiana Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: David Walsh J: Amber Riddell T: David Walsh	98	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 8th of 14 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on December 5 over 7f, 5 len behind Eight Lucky Prawns with 122lbs at $5.30. Before that second last of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Charm Manhattan with 121lbs at $3.50. Senior jockey Billy Jacobson replaces a claiming apprentice for this assignment.
1	Most recently favourite, settled well back, won by a nose at Riccarton Park Synthetic December 5 over 7f defeating Hey Now with 132lbs at $4.90. Before that 5th of 14 at this track on October 31 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Epilogue carrying 123lbs at $6.10. Impressed last start and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 1 Eight Lucky Prawns Jockey: Kylie Williams Trainer: Kevin Mcauley J: Kylie Williams T: Kevin Mcauley	113	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently favourite, settled well back, won by a nose at Riccarton Park Synthetic December 5 over 7f defeating Hey Now with 132lbs at $4.90. Before that 5th of 14 at this track on October 31 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Epilogue carrying 123lbs at $6.10. Impressed last start and can go on with it.
5	Second run back. First-up after three months 8th of 10 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Vieni Su with 121lbs at $16.40. Previously second-up 4th of 13 at Ruakaka 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Iridescent with 116lbs at $7.50. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 5 Miss Seth Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kenny Rae J: Floor Moerman T: Kenny Rae	65	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 8th of 10 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Vieni Su with 121lbs at $16.40. Previously second-up 4th of 13 at Ruakaka 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Iridescent with 116lbs at $7.50. Plenty of improvement to come.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.