NZ - Ashburton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SUAVETTA (13) up to this trip for her last two starts and had no luck when probing for a run from 2nd last Oct 10 then charged home off a similar run for a head 3rd and ran right through the line. Take beating here. I DUNNET (10) was favourite here last start when got a long way back and ran on for 6th over 1m. Recent 2nd came over 1 ¼m at Riccarton on a heavy track. Better suited here, especially if the expected rain falls. COCOMORA (7) charged home from a mile back to score in a tight photo over 1m here last time out. Ready for the step up in distance here. ILLUSIONIST (1) backed up his maiden win over this trip on the synthetic with a charging run from near last for a close 2nd at Riccarton last time out a month ago. Consider. HEY DANA (6) was having her 2nd start for this new stable and 2nd-up after a spell when tracked the speed in 4th and found plenty to score here last start. Keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.1 len behind Honor Mission carrying 126lbs at $6.10. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track on October 10 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Overheated carrying 120lbs at $9.90. Shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 13 Suavetta Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Leah Hemi T: Andrew Carston	89	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.1 len behind Honor Mission carrying 126lbs at $6.10. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track on October 10 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Overheated carrying 120lbs at $9.90. Shapes as one of the key chances.
10	Most recently 6th of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Flying Celebration with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that 12th of 15 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Persona with 122lbs at $4.60. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 10 I Dunnet Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Kenny Rae J: Jack Taplin T: Kenny Rae	93	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Flying Celebration with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that 12th of 15 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Persona with 122lbs at $4.60. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish.
7	Most recently was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a 0.1 len at this track on October 18 over 1m in the wet defeating Go Pro with 125lbs at $5.30. The race before that 8th of 15 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Sheza Professional with 120lbs at $16.90. Sure to measure up. 3rd Pick 7 Cocomora Jockey: Bridget Grylls Trainer: Anna Furlong J: Bridget Grylls T: Anna Furlong	71	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Most recently was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a 0.1 len at this track on October 18 over 1m in the wet defeating Go Pro with 125lbs at $5.30. The race before that 8th of 15 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Sheza Professional with 120lbs at $16.90. Sure to measure up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.