NZ - Ashburton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MISS ZIGGY (10) was racing well in hot fields prior to finishing ninth in the G1 1000 Guineas at Riccarton just over 6 weeks ago. She drops in class, and weight, so she goes on top here. POGACAR (7) has been a late scratching since his last win here in October. He has plenty of ability and also a few tricks. The best version of this gelding will give the top pick plenty to think about. WAR COURT (3) is a handy but lightly tried 6-year-old gelding who resumed with a big late run for third on the poly track at Riccarton nearly 3 weeks ago. Stick with him for all top 4 combos. RICHIE'S DREAM (6) raced well on his home track of Ruakaka through the winter and has finished fourth in a Pukekohe trial this season. She cops a tough gate, but can't be risked. Check the market. SHOW PONY (4) has been below his best recently, but is better than that, and should be included in all combinations to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Dual acceptor. Comes off a 46 day let-up. At the latest run 9th of 12 at Riccarton Park in the G1 New Zealand 1000 Guineas on November 8 over 1m, 8 len behind Well Written carrying 125lbs at $55.40. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at this track in the G3 Barneswood Farm Stakes on October 11 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Cool Aza Rene carrying 121lbs at $18.10. Hard to beat on her best form. 1st Pick 10 Miss Ziggy Jockey: Kylie Williams Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Kylie Williams T: Andrew Carston	116	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Comes off a 46 day let-up. At the latest run 9th of 12 at Riccarton Park in the G1 New Zealand 1000 Guineas on November 8 over 1m, 8 len behind Well Written carrying 125lbs at $55.40. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at this track in the G3 Barneswood Farm Stakes on October 11 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Cool Aza Rene carrying 121lbs at $18.10. Hard to beat on her best form.
7	Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track October 11 over 7f defeating Nuncio with 128lbs at $8.80. When resuming last campaign came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track on April 3 over 7f, on a slow track, head behind House Of Tudor carrying 123lbs at $13. Failed to finish in a Phar Lap Racecourse trial over 6f on December 9. Expected to feature. 2nd Pick 7 Pogacar Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ross Beckett J: Non Runner T: Ross Beckett	69	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track October 11 over 7f defeating Nuncio with 128lbs at $8.80. When resuming last campaign came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track on April 3 over 7f, on a slow track, head behind House Of Tudor carrying 123lbs at $13. Failed to finish in a Phar Lap Racecourse trial over 6f on December 9. Expected to feature.
3	Second-up. First-up after three months came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on December 5 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Witz End carrying 118lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track April 16 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Town Belt with 132lbs at $4.70. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 3rd Pick 3 War Court Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Brian Court And Jesse O’Flaherty J: Floor Moerman T: Brian Court And Jesse O’Flaherty	122	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on December 5 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Witz End carrying 118lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track April 16 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Town Belt with 132lbs at $4.70. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

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