NZ - Ashburton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MAROKOPA FALLS (1) has been beaten less than 2L in all three starts this prep. Scratched from Riccarton when she drew the car-park. Perfectly placed here from barrier 4. ETERNAL LIGHT (5) sat outside the leader and looked under pressure on the turn but dug deep for a narrow win at Timaru when fresh. Seldom far away and took on three Listed Races last season. Respect. DAPHNE DIOR (12) has just the one win from 31 starts but caught the eye charging home late for 3rd here last time. Keep safe. NOVELETTE (6) was shuffled back on the rail and held up a touch on the turn when running on OK when fresh here last start. Won her maiden here at this trip in March and better for the first up run. IT'S AMELIA (7) put in a big runs from well back in last couple at Hastings and Cambridge Synthetic. Possible improver form new stable here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Larius Lacus carrying 128lbs at $7.20. Before that 2nd of 10 at Riccarton Park on September 12 over 6f, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Recital with 125lbs at $5.70. Major player. 1st Pick 1 Marokopa Falls Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Triston Moodley T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	205	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Larius Lacus carrying 128lbs at $7.20. Before that 2nd of 10 at Riccarton Park on September 12 over 6f, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Recital with 125lbs at $5.70. Major player.
5	Second-up. First-up after six months favourite, won by a 0.1 len at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Into The Circle carrying 125lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up 13th of 15 in the LR Dunedin Guineas at Wingatui on February 28 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Hello Hayley with 121lbs at $31.60. Shapes as a leading chance again. 2nd Pick 5 Eternal Light Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Bruce Tapper J: Leah Hemi T: Bruce Tapper	105	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months favourite, won by a 0.1 len at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Into The Circle carrying 125lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up 13th of 15 in the LR Dunedin Guineas at Wingatui on February 28 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Hello Hayley with 121lbs at $31.60. Shapes as a leading chance again.
12	Last start 3rd of 9 at this track on October 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Grove Street carrying 115lbs at $11.30. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on October 10 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Kids Got Gears with 115lbs at $8.70. Capable on her day and is right in the mix. 3rd Pick 12 Daphne Dior Jockey: Ohara Najib Trainer: Sarah & Matthew Smith J: Ohara Najib T: Sarah & Matthew Smith	99	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 9 at this track on October 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Grove Street carrying 115lbs at $11.30. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on October 10 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Kids Got Gears with 115lbs at $8.70. Capable on her day and is right in the mix.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.