NZ - Ashburton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

10.9K

VIEW

Verdict

IFFIN DOUBT DANCE (3) dropped back into this grade at Riccarton 8 days ago and found the mile a touch on the short side, being this deep into her prep. The extra 3f is the key, and though she is battling for form, she is nicely placed this time, so stick with her at some each-way value. AVORIAZ (8) made up a lot of solid ground when finishing third here nearly 3 weeks ago over this trip. She is peaking at the right time and can take this out. STRONG (7) has been in good form in his last 3 starts, and gets a nice swing in his draw this time. If being down by the fence is the place to be by this time of the day, then he can figure in the top 3 again. SHAMEFUL (1) capped off some improving form with an overdue maiden win by a short-head at Riccarton 8 days ago over a mile. A wet track is what he needs, and he can repeat the dose with similar conditions underfoot. HEREIGOAGAIN (12) has not won for some time and cops a wide gate here. She is not out of a field like this. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	At the latest run 9th of 13 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind O'riordan with 126lbs at $21.30. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 at this track on February 20 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Eight Pence carrying 117lbs at $22.40. Well placed. Finds a nice race this time and is likely to feature. 1st Pick 3 Iffin Doubt Dance Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Samantha Wynne J: Elen Nicholas T: Samantha Wynne	92	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run 9th of 13 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind O'riordan with 126lbs at $21.30. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 at this track on February 20 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Eight Pence carrying 117lbs at $22.40. Well placed. Finds a nice race this time and is likely to feature.
8	Third-up today. Resuming 8th of 18 at Riccarton Park on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Flamboyance carrying 123lbs at $26.70. Second run from a spell ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on February 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Imperative carrying 122lbs at $20.70. Well placed to take this out. 2nd Pick 8 Avoriaz Jockey: Donovan Cooper Trainer: Lance Robinson J: Donovan Cooper T: Lance Robinson	94	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 8th of 18 at Riccarton Park on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Flamboyance carrying 123lbs at $26.70. Second run from a spell ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on February 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Imperative carrying 122lbs at $20.70. Well placed to take this out.
7	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Ascot Park on February 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Belardo Ace carrying 126lbs at $22. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Schedar carrying 126lbs at $7.70. Has ability and can run a forward race. 3rd Pick 7 Strong Jockey: Kate Hercock Trainer: Bruce Tapper J: Kate Hercock T: Bruce Tapper	97	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Ascot Park on February 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Belardo Ace carrying 126lbs at $22. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Schedar carrying 126lbs at $7.70. Has ability and can run a forward race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.