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Resulted

NZ - Ashburton - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
14.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHAWSHANK (2) led them up and was swamped in the Ashburton Cup last start after similar in the TAB Mile Prelude at Riccarton. A wet track helps his chances greatly. STONYBRECK (1) got back and made ground for 6th in the TAB Mile Prelude when fresh the snagged back and shuffled to last turn in the Ashburton Cup last start. Nine race winner, well placed in this. SEFTON (6) has a good record this track and trip with a win and placing from 3 attempts. Fitter for a strong trial win at Timaru recently. Respect. RICHARD STOMPER (3) has won both his starts this track and trip and has a win and 3 placings from 6 first-up runs. Quiet trial recently but worth thought. DIMAGGIO (4) has got back in the last couple in both starts this prep over 6f and 7f and has run on far too late. Up to his best distance now could prompt improvement.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Villasanti silk

Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 14 at this track on October 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Hello Hayley with 130lbs at $8. Previously second-up 3rd of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Aladdins Jem carrying 129lbs at $3.70. Another forward showing is likely.

1st Pick
5

Villasanti

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Jamie Bullard

J: Non Runner

T: Jamie Bullard

136---43%

Scratched

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 14 at this track on October 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Hello Hayley with 130lbs at $8. Previously second-up 3rd of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Aladdins Jem carrying 129lbs at $3.70. Another forward showing is likely.

2
Shawshank silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 14 at this track on October 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Peachy Keen with 120lbs at $4.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Mystic Park with 123lbs at $7.90. Rates highly and can break through here.

2nd Pick
2

Shawshank

Jockey: Jack Taplin

Trainer: Samantha Wynne

J: Jack Taplin

T: Samantha Wynne

181---34%

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 14 at this track on October 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Peachy Keen with 120lbs at $4.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Mystic Park with 123lbs at $7.90. Rates highly and can break through here.

1
Stonybreck silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 11 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Mystic Park with 132lbs at $8.80. Second run from a spell 10th of 14 at this track on October 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Peachy Keen with 133lbs at $11.80. Has the ability and is among the leading hopes.

3rd Pick
1

Stonybreck

Jockey: Hayley Hassman

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Hayley Hassman

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

325---34%

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 11 at Riccarton Park on September 26 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Mystic Park with 132lbs at $8.80. Second run from a spell 10th of 14 at this track on October 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Peachy Keen with 133lbs at $11.80. Has the ability and is among the leading hopes.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.