NZ - Ashburton - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

10.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TAIMATE STAAR (4) has been thereabouts all season, and is meeting a very modest field here. She was a sound runner-up at Riccarton last time out behind a promising type, and a repeat of that effort would see her as the one to beat in this. PRIVATE TREATY (6) only battled in the same race as the top pick despite having plenty of market support. Stick with her on this circuit. GOLDEN LINING (5) has been hitting the line powerfully in her last couple of starts. She has recently relocated to the South Island and looks set to make an immediate impact. SOUL DESTROYER (1) has bobbed up on a couple of occasions, and he gives every indication that he will continue to improve over the longer journeys. Stick with him for all top 4 combos in this. WATSON (2) is trying a middle distance for the first time, and that could produce some better form. Include in all combinations to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Aishiteru with 125lbs at $3.30. Before that 3rd of 16 at Riccarton Park on February 4 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Words Of Mine carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Must come into consideration over this longer journey. 1st Pick 4 Taimate Staar Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Bruno Queiroz T: Andrew Carston	87	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Aishiteru with 125lbs at $3.30. Before that 3rd of 16 at Riccarton Park on February 4 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Words Of Mine carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Must come into consideration over this longer journey.
6	Most recently 7th of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 9 len behind Aishiteru with 125lbs at $4.50. Before that 6th of 16 at Riccarton Park on February 4 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Words Of Mine with 121lbs at $6.30. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 6 Private Treaty Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Richard Didham J: Leah Hemi T: Richard Didham	75	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently 7th of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 9 len behind Aishiteru with 125lbs at $4.50. Before that 6th of 16 at Riccarton Park on February 4 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Words Of Mine with 121lbs at $6.30. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
5	Recent form sound. Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 13 at Otaki on February 8 over 1 5/16m, slow going 4.5 len behind Hephaestus with 125lbs at $9. Before that 4th of 12 at Waverley on January 28 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Chelsea Rose with 125lbs at $19.60. Working up to a win. In a suitable race and is ready for another bold showing. 3rd Pick 5 Golden Lining Jockey: Kate Hercock Trainer: Centaine Spittles J: Kate Hercock T: Centaine Spittles	68	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Recent form sound. Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 13 at Otaki on February 8 over 1 5/16m, slow going 4.5 len behind Hephaestus with 125lbs at $9. Before that 4th of 12 at Waverley on January 28 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Chelsea Rose with 125lbs at $19.60. Working up to a win. In a suitable race and is ready for another bold showing.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.