NZ - Ashburton - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

WANDERIN CHARM (7) ran on strongly from midfield in first look at this trip 2 back then faded out after a handier run last time as favourite. Vet check revealed slow recovery and elevated heart rate so pay to forgive latest. Can make amends. WHITE PALACE (8) ran on well out wide from beyond midfield over this trip at Timaru last start. Building nicely and is a danger here. IMPERIAL THINKER (1) led from a handy gate when up to this trip for the first time last start at Timaru but was collared at the 1f mark and boxed on OK thereafter. Better for the experience. NOT A DOUBT (2) has made ground from the rear in all 4 starts to date, the latest when up to this trip at Timaru. Respect again here. COSTANZA (4) got well back when up to this trip at Oamaru 2 starts back and worked home OK for 6th less than 5L from the winner. Has place claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Last start struggled in the run home, 10th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 18 len behind Gasgal with 125lbs at $4.50. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Salacia Princess with 125lbs at $15.50. Should prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 7 Wanderin Charm Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Ross Beckett J: Terry Moseley T: Ross Beckett	122	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Last start struggled in the run home, 10th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 18 len behind Gasgal with 125lbs at $4.50. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Salacia Princess with 125lbs at $15.50. Should prove hard to beat.
8	Racing well recently. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Gasgal with 122lbs at $10.90. The start before that 4th of 7 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Illusionist carrying 122lbs at $7.70. Can go on with the job now. 2nd Pick 8 White Palace Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Lisa Young J: Hayley Hassman T: Lisa Young	99	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Gasgal with 122lbs at $10.90. The start before that 4th of 7 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Illusionist carrying 122lbs at $7.70. Can go on with the job now.
1	Most recently 4th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Gasgal with 125lbs at $15.30. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Sailor Sam carrying 129lbs at $31.60. Top chance. 3rd Pick 1 Imperial Thinker Jockey: Donovan Cooper Trainer: Len & Lacy Stewart J: Donovan Cooper T: Len & Lacy Stewart	104	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Gasgal with 125lbs at $15.30. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 12 at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Sailor Sam carrying 129lbs at $31.60. Top chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.