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2:35 AM

AU - Mt Isa - Race 1

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Sand
GOOD
11.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MIA TORETTO (11) raced once in her Maiden preparation when fourth at Swan Hill over 6f back 521 days. Raced equal favourite in that and expect her to be very competitive in these parts. The betting will be key. CUP OF AMBITION (9) led and just missed here, showing more like her best form. Fitter and draws inside. She will get every chance to go one better. LORD VALEN (1) failed to figure again last time over 5 ?f at Home Hill. The former SA galloper would be among the chances on best figures, and we may see more today from a handy gate. KOUKLITSA (10) finished second last start over 6f at Cloncurry, beaten 1.3 lengths. Should be cherry-ripe. Placed to advantage and expect another forward showing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Mia Toretto silk

Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when 4th of 10 at Swan Hill 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 7 2024 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Warakurna carrying 123lbs at $3.30. Can get off the mark.

1st Pick
11

Mia Toretto

Jockey: Jason Hoopert

Trainer: Shryn Gabriel-Royes

J: Jason Hoopert

T: Shryn Gabriel-Royes

61---23%7/2

Analysis

Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when 4th of 10 at Swan Hill 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 7 2024 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Warakurna carrying 123lbs at $3.30. Can get off the mark.

9
Cup Of Ambition silk

Third-up today. First-up ran last of 11 at Cloncurry Mdn-Sw on October 10 over 5f, 17 len behind Corvalist with 129lbs at $12. Second run from a spell gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 20 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Midori Forest carrying 129lbs at $8.50. Racing well. Will take plenty of beating.

2nd Pick
9

Cup Of Ambition

Jockey: Chris Whiteley

Trainer: Tanya Parry

J: Chris Whiteley

T: Tanya Parry

194---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up ran last of 11 at Cloncurry Mdn-Sw on October 10 over 5f, 17 len behind Corvalist with 129lbs at $12. Second run from a spell gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 20 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Midori Forest carrying 129lbs at $8.50. Racing well. Will take plenty of beating.

1
Lord Valen silk

At the latest run second last of 9 at Home Hill Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 5f, slow going 11 len behind Not Worth It carrying 131lbs at $3.50. The start before that 7th of 10 at Townsville Mdn on October 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Redlights On with 126lbs at $14. Nicely placed to put the record straight.

3rd Pick
1

Lord Valen

Jockey: Tessa Townsend

Trainer: Shryn Gabriel-Royes

J: Tessa Townsend

T: Shryn Gabriel-Royes

136---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run second last of 9 at Home Hill Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 5f, slow going 11 len behind Not Worth It carrying 131lbs at $3.50. The start before that 7th of 10 at Townsville Mdn on October 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Redlights On with 126lbs at $14. Nicely placed to put the record straight.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.