AU - Moree - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 7

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

I'M NELSON (3) stepped up quickly to 1m last start at Doomben and did well to be beaten just under two lengths after travelling on the pace all the way. Coped with the soft track on that occasion and has won in the going before. Carries a similar weight today in a weaker race - ideally placed to return to winning ways. ALWAYS A RAINBOW (2) missed the placings for the first time this prep when he struggled to make up ground in a Class 3 over 7f at Eagle Farm four weeks ago. Loves soft tracks and faces a massive drop in grade today. Clear danger. ENDLESS APPLAUSE (6) started favourite but may have found the jump from 7f to 1 ?m too much last start at Port Macquarie. Cherry ripe after three runs back and suited back at the mile. TRALEE (7) won two on the trot then made an early move and kept coming to grab third last time out over this distance at Coonamble. In the mix again. ABRAHAM (1) has won two from four at this trip and can improve on recent efforts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 9 in a Cl3-Sw at Doomben on October 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Scripted with 129lbs at $41. The race before that 4th of 11 in a 0 - 58 at Ipswich on October 8 over 6 ¾f, 1.75 len behind Azuki carrying 132lbs at $3.70. Handles soft ground and drops in grade so plenty to like about his prospects. 1st Pick 3 I'm Nelson Jockey: Hannah Richardson Trainer: Mark Goodwin J: Hannah Richardson T: Mark Goodwin	173	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 9 in a Cl3-Sw at Doomben on October 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Scripted with 129lbs at $41. The race before that 4th of 11 in a 0 - 58 at Ipswich on October 8 over 6 ¾f, 1.75 len behind Azuki carrying 132lbs at $3.70. Handles soft ground and drops in grade so plenty to like about his prospects.
2	Last start ran second last of 8 in a Cl3-Sw at Eagle Farm on October 3 over 7f, 5 len behind Easy Love carrying 125lbs at $41. The start before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 in a 0 - 65 at Doomben on September 12 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Flaxlands with 126lbs at $6.50. Capable of a better run in this easier assignment. 2nd Pick 2 Always A Rainbow Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Stirling Osland J: Ben Looker T: Stirling Osland	142	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Last start ran second last of 8 in a Cl3-Sw at Eagle Farm on October 3 over 7f, 5 len behind Easy Love carrying 125lbs at $41. The start before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 in a 0 - 65 at Doomben on September 12 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Flaxlands with 126lbs at $6.50. Capable of a better run in this easier assignment.
6	Form hard to fault. Last start made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 13 in a Bm58 at Port Macquarie on October 10 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Prince Is Game carrying 129lbs at $2.30. The start before that 3rd of 7 in a Ctry Cl2 at Tamworth on September 28 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Nugget Smart carrying 123lbs at $8. Loves getting the toe in the ground - key runner from a nice draw. 3rd Pick 6 Endless Applause Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Lou Mary J: Mikayla Weir T: Lou Mary	118	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 13 in a Bm58 at Port Macquarie on October 10 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Prince Is Game carrying 129lbs at $2.30. The start before that 3rd of 7 in a Ctry Cl2 at Tamworth on September 28 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Nugget Smart carrying 123lbs at $8. Loves getting the toe in the ground - key runner from a nice draw.

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