AU - Ipswich - Race 9

Thoroughbred

21 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 6

113.2K

VIEW

Verdict

NAIFAH (10) led for the judge but was swamped late in the Helen Coughlan over this distance at Eagle Farm last start. Drops 2.5kgs under today's scale and should strip fitter at the third run back. Worth another chance. CIGAR FLICK (3) scored an excellent win first-up in the Listed Bright Shadow then didn't quicken as expected last time in the Coughlan. Gets a cosy run from an inside gate. The heavier the track the better for this mare. MANOLO BLING (11) has been finding the line with gusto this prep. Came from near the tail to get up for second most recently over 5f at Eagle Farm. Ideally placed out to 6f so with a soft run assured out of the inside gate she is going to be hard to hold out. SILVER WEDDING (16) was highly impressive first-up over 5f at Eagle Farm. Doesn't draw as well today and her second-up form isn't flattering. Still deserves some consideration. SPRING LEE (7) was racing well in NSW before a plain effort in the Coughlan last time. Can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Last start 5th of 16 at Eagle Farm in the LR Helen Coughlan on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Savagery Vibe carrying 123lbs at $8. The start before that won by 2.75 len at Morphettville G3 Proud Miss May 9 over 6f on a soft track defeating Lingani with 119lbs at $4.20. Top chance to return to the winner's list. 1st Pick 10 Naifah Jockey: Emily Lang Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Emily Lang T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	188	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 16 at Eagle Farm in the LR Helen Coughlan on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Savagery Vibe carrying 123lbs at $8. The start before that won by 2.75 len at Morphettville G3 Proud Miss May 9 over 6f on a soft track defeating Lingani with 119lbs at $4.20. Top chance to return to the winner's list.
3	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.2 len at Doomben LR Bright Shadow May 16 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Zouperb carrying 121lbs at $18. Last start 8th of 16 at Eagle Farm in the LR Helen Coughlan on May 30 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Savagery Vibe carrying 125lbs at $14. Genuine hope based on the win two back. 2nd Pick 3 Cigar Flick Jockey: Ryan Maloney Trainer: Chris Waller J: Ryan Maloney T: Chris Waller	162	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.2 len at Doomben LR Bright Shadow May 16 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Zouperb carrying 121lbs at $18. Last start 8th of 16 at Eagle Farm in the LR Helen Coughlan on May 30 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Savagery Vibe carrying 125lbs at $14. Genuine hope based on the win two back.
11	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at Eagle Farm Bm85 on May 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Silver Wedding with 127lbs at $19. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Gold Coast Bat Out Of Hell on May 9 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Flying Destiny with 115lbs at $17. Ready to strike peak form. 3rd Pick 11 Manolo Bling Jockey: Taylor Marshall Trainer: Kelly Schweida J: Taylor Marshall T: Kelly Schweida	102	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at Eagle Farm Bm85 on May 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Silver Wedding with 127lbs at $19. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Gold Coast Bat Out Of Hell on May 9 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Flying Destiny with 115lbs at $17. Ready to strike peak form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.