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5:06 AM

AU - Ipswich - Race 6

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
6.7f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 6
19.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ADRANOS (3) was coming off a seven-week let-up when safely held in fifth last start over 5 ½f at this circuit. Raced once over today's trip and was narrowly beaten last prep at Doomben. Looks a terrific chance with that last outing under the belt. OCTOBER MANIFESTO (7) collected his maiden win two back at Beaudesert then took a quantum leap to Saturday metro company last time and wasn't disgraced over this distance at Doomben. Beautifully placed to return to winning ways. SILENT THINKER (1) was lining up for only the second time when a dogged winner over 6f here 16 days ago. Meets some better types this time but he has loads of upside. TRANSGRESS (9) was too bad to be true at Eagle Farm last start. The nine-day back-up is a positive sign from the stable that he can shrug off that bad performance. TULONG (2) did a fair job here at this trip when resuming last start. Plenty of improvement to come.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Adranos silk

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 9 at this track 0 - 62 on June 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Everybody Rise carrying 130lbs at $3.10. The race before that 5th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on May 6 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Valencia Roc carrying 127lbs at $5. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish.

1st Pick
3

Adranos

Jockey: Ryan Maloney

Trainer: Tony Gollan

J: Ryan Maloney

T: Tony Gollan

132---23%7/2

Analysis

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 9 at this track 0 - 62 on June 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Everybody Rise carrying 130lbs at $3.10. The race before that 5th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on May 6 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Valencia Roc carrying 127lbs at $5. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish.

7
October Manifesto silk

Last start sat on the pace before fading 7th of 12 at Doomben Nmw on July 11 over 6 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Hellova Nature carrying 115lbs at $17. The run before that came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Beaudesert Mdn-Sw June 26 over 7f in soft going defeating Divil A Bit carrying 128lbs at $1.50. Encouraging effort last start. Hard to beat in this more suitable contest.

2nd Pick
7

October Manifesto

Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Jag Guthmann-Chester

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

138---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start sat on the pace before fading 7th of 12 at Doomben Nmw on July 11 over 6 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Hellova Nature carrying 115lbs at $17. The run before that came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Beaudesert Mdn-Sw June 26 over 7f in soft going defeating Divil A Bit carrying 128lbs at $1.50. Encouraging effort last start. Hard to beat in this more suitable contest.

1
Silent Thinker silk

Had two starts to date. At debut, 3rd of 13 at Gold Coast Mdn on June 20 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Sense Of Duty carrying 127lbs at $9. Second-up favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track Cg&E Mdn-Sw July 8 over 6f in soft going defeating Comin'hometoyou with 127lbs at $3.50. Progressive three-year-old who should cope in this better company.

3rd Pick
1

Silent Thinker

Jockey: Ben Thompson

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Ben Thompson

T: Matthew Dunn

133---19%9/2

Analysis

Had two starts to date. At debut, 3rd of 13 at Gold Coast Mdn on June 20 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Sense Of Duty carrying 127lbs at $9. Second-up favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track Cg&E Mdn-Sw July 8 over 6f in soft going defeating Comin'hometoyou with 127lbs at $3.50. Progressive three-year-old who should cope in this better company.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.