AU - Ipswich - Race 5

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MISSION OF JOY (9) goes on top after a decisive 4L maiden win at the Sunny Coast and a nose second to Drinkwater in a CL1 at Eagle Farm, when doing her best work late. Splits suggest the rise in trip will suit her third-up. ODIN'S MOUNT (4) is the danger after winning well at Warwick then missing by just over half a length at this track despite late interference. Is open to further improvement third-up and gets an important 7lbs claim to offset the big weight. TRANSGRESS (5) has been freshened with 35 days after going down in a CL3 at Lismore. His win prior at the same venue lines up well though, so he may be worth another look. SIR MAURICE (1) is honest, proven at this venue and gets a claim. No reason he won't be there at the business end.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Just missed in a Class 1 at Eagle Farm last start, beaten a nose by Drinkwater after settling back and finishing strongly at generous odds. That followed a dominant four-length FM Mdn win at Sunshine Coast on soft ground, so the current campaign has real momentum. The 6 ¾f record is the only query, but she is third-up, handles wet ground and brings the best recent form into the race. 1st Pick 9 Mission Of Joy Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester Trainer: Matthew Hoysted J: Jag Guthmann-Chester T: Matthew Hoysted	168	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Just missed in a Class 1 at Eagle Farm last start, beaten a nose by Drinkwater after settling back and finishing strongly at generous odds. That followed a dominant four-length FM Mdn win at Sunshine Coast on soft ground, so the current campaign has real momentum. The 6 ¾f record is the only query, but she is third-up, handles wet ground and brings the best recent form into the race.
4	Produced a strong Warwick win two back, beating Thunderous by just under two lengths as a well-supported favourite, then was beaten just over half a length at this track after striking interference late. That last-start fourth reads better than the bare result and he is now third-up with a placing from two tries at this distance. The 7lbs claim is useful and his recent form makes him a leading winning hope. 2nd Pick 4 Odin's Mount Jockey: Maddie Mankelow Trainer: Renita Beaton J: Maddie Mankelow T: Renita Beaton	141	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Produced a strong Warwick win two back, beating Thunderous by just under two lengths as a well-supported favourite, then was beaten just over half a length at this track after striking interference late. That last-start fourth reads better than the bare result and he is now third-up with a placing from two tries at this distance. The 7lbs claim is useful and his recent form makes him a leading winning hope.
5	Returns from a five-week freshening after a Class 3 fifth at Lismore, beaten two lengths as favourite in country company, and this is a harder meeting. The positive is that he still made ground on soft going, and his prior Lismore win over Caishen by a length and a half showed he is comfortable when the ground has give. Proven at this distance and suited back to BM58 grade, he remains a strong winning chance. 3rd Pick 5 Transgress Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Daniel Moor T: Michael Freedman	112	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening after a Class 3 fifth at Lismore, beaten two lengths as favourite in country company, and this is a harder meeting. The positive is that he still made ground on soft going, and his prior Lismore win over Caishen by a length and a half showed he is comfortable when the ground has give. Proven at this distance and suited back to BM58 grade, he remains a strong winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.