AU - Ipswich - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

5.5f

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 9

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DRAGON LINK (1) is the one to beat after resuming with a dominant pillar-to-post Mdn win at Eagle Farm to justify favouritism. Expecting him to go on with it. LIFE AFTER LOVE (3) looms as the immediate threat after running third in a BM65 at Doomben, only beaten 1.1L. Her 5 ½f record reads well enough to keep her firmly in the contest. MEET GEORGE (2) has placed at all three attempts over this track and trip and should be ready to start hitting her straps. Suffered some interference at Eagle Farm last start when finishing midfield, and could have finished closer. Can play a role off a 37-day freshen. QUANTUM OVERDRIVE (17) returned with a bang at Kilcoy and now gets a key switch in Maloney. Not dismissing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Resumed in sharp order when sent out favourite and winning a Mdn at Eagle Farm by just under four lengths, leading and kicking strongly on soft ground. He had been beaten a nose at Gold Coast Poly before the break after beginning awkwardly, so the overall profile is consistent. Keeps the winning rider and looks the horse they have to beat. 1st Pick 1 Dragon Link Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester Trainer: Matthew Hoysted J: Jag Guthmann-Chester T: Matthew Hoysted	120	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Resumed in sharp order when sent out favourite and winning a Mdn at Eagle Farm by just under four lengths, leading and kicking strongly on soft ground. He had been beaten a nose at Gold Coast Poly before the break after beginning awkwardly, so the overall profile is consistent. Keeps the winning rider and looks the horse they have to beat.
3	Produced a better run than the market expected when third in a BM65 at Doomben, beaten just over a length by Divine Source after settling handy and working home evenly. She had excuses two back at Eagle Farm when held up around the home turn, and now drops from metro company with Ben Thompson staying aboard. Proven at 5 ½f and the metro-to-this setup looks suitable. 2nd Pick 3 Life After Love Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Ben Thompson T: Tony Gollan	164	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Produced a better run than the market expected when third in a BM65 at Doomben, beaten just over a length by Divine Source after settling handy and working home evenly. She had excuses two back at Eagle Farm when held up around the home turn, and now drops from metro company with Ben Thompson staying aboard. Proven at 5 ½f and the metro-to-this setup looks suitable.
6	Eased from Saturday Open company after finishing seventh at Eagle Farm, where she raced keenly early and was beaten just over six lengths by Esperanza. Her previous soft-track second at Eagle Farm was stronger, beaten a neck by Vanessi as short odds-on favourite, and she beat Life After Love there. Strong chance to bounce back third-up. 3rd Pick 6 Olivoni Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris & Corey Munce J: Non Runner T: Chris & Corey Munce	148	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Eased from Saturday Open company after finishing seventh at Eagle Farm, where she raced keenly early and was beaten just over six lengths by Esperanza. Her previous soft-track second at Eagle Farm was stronger, beaten a neck by Vanessi as short odds-on favourite, and she beat Life After Love there. Strong chance to bounce back third-up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.