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4:50 AM

AU - Ipswich - Race 3

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 9
21.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TEXAS (15) is one of the main chances if you can forgive his Eagle Farm run last time when racing wide throughout and dropping right out. His previous Gold Coast second was a much better guide. BRAZEN ACT (1) has been off the scene for over a year but won a Doomben trial last month, and has always hinted at holding some ability. Has the apprentice claim to help offset the 132lbs. In the mix. FIELD OF CLANS (11) is another fresh runner with appeal, trialling well before this return after being well-supported on debut at Rockhampton, where she began awkwardly and still made some late ground without threatening. HILLS OF MINTO (2) showed positive signs in his debut prep and can make his presence felt fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Cassia County silk

Ran well first-up at Sunshine Coast when fourth to Punishment Day, beaten just over a length on soft ground after being prominent enough in the market. She had been a well-supported favourite when second to Pontevico there earlier, beaten just under a length, so her exposed form stacks up strongly for this. Looks ready to break through.

1st Pick
7

Cassia County

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Taylah Mackinnon

J: Non Runner

T: Taylah Mackinnon

111---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Ran well first-up at Sunshine Coast when fourth to Punishment Day, beaten just over a length on soft ground after being prominent enough in the market. She had been a well-supported favourite when second to Pontevico there earlier, beaten just under a length, so her exposed form stacks up strongly for this. Looks ready to break through.

15
Texas silk

Had genuine excuses at Eagle Farm last start, finishing second last after being bumped early and racing wide throughout, so the margin over 11 lengths is not the full story. His Gold Coast second before that, beaten just under a length by Dirty Harry on soft ground, is the run to assess. Third-up and capable of sharp improvement.

2nd Pick
15

Texas

Jockey: Ben Thompson

Trainer: Tony Gollan

J: Ben Thompson

T: Tony Gollan

156---10%10/1

Analysis

Had genuine excuses at Eagle Farm last start, finishing second last after being bumped early and racing wide throughout, so the margin over 11 lengths is not the full story. His Gold Coast second before that, beaten just under a length by Dirty Harry on soft ground, is the run to assess. Third-up and capable of sharp improvement.

1
Brazen Act silk

Returns from a lengthy spell after ending his last campaign with a sixth at Doomben, beaten just under three lengths after leading and being swamped late. He had earlier run third there as a well-supported favourite, and the Doomben trial win last month gives some readiness. Eight placings from twelve starts underlines the frustration, but with the claim and proven wet-track placings he has a genuine chance to break through. Worth taking seriously fresh, especially if there's market support.

3rd Pick
1

Brazen Act

Jockey: Emily Pozman

Trainer: Kelly Schweida

J: Emily Pozman

T: Kelly Schweida

74---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell after ending his last campaign with a sixth at Doomben, beaten just under three lengths after leading and being swamped late. He had earlier run third there as a well-supported favourite, and the Doomben trial win last month gives some readiness. Eight placings from twelve starts underlines the frustration, but with the claim and proven wet-track placings he has a genuine chance to break through. Worth taking seriously fresh, especially if there's market support.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.