AU - Ipswich - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

27.3K

VIEW

Verdict

STATE IN TEXAS (3) saves his best form for this track and trip with four wins and two seconds from eight attempts and will be cherry-ripe now third run back from the break. Gets 4lbs weight relief with the claim and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Plenty to like about his prospects. The well-related MEDALS (2) (full to G3 winner Tailleur) returned in fine fashion with a strong win over this course and distance and will have come on with that run now under the belt. Can go back-to-back without surprising. You'd love to own a stable full of gallopers like DIAMANTINA ROSE (5) who has only missed a drum once in 15 career outings. Never runs a bad race and has to be included in calculations. RUNAROUND SUE (7) is a two-time winner here and will be ready to peak now third run back. In the mix. WONDEREACH (1) rounds out the selections in a competitive affair.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 8 in a Hcp at Gold Coast on July 18 over 5f, slow going 9 len behind Thelwell carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Second run from a spell 4th of 8 in a Hcp at Sunshine Coast on August 9 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Chakra Boy with 119lbs at $18. Tough to beat if near his best. 1st Pick 3 State In Texas Jockey: Jai Williams Trainer: Jimmy Downes J: Jai Williams T: Jimmy Downes	185	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 8 in a Hcp at Gold Coast on July 18 over 5f, slow going 9 len behind Thelwell carrying 119lbs at $9.50. Second run from a spell 4th of 8 in a Hcp at Sunshine Coast on August 9 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Chakra Boy with 119lbs at $18. Tough to beat if near his best.
2	Full-brother to Group 3 winner Tailleur. Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 0.5 len at this track on August 27 over 4f on a soft track defeating Runaround Sue with 134lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up ran second last of 11 in a Hcp at Chinchilla on November 8 over 5f, 8 len behind Tijuana Two Step carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Should put in a bold showing on latest run. 2nd Pick 2 Medals Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Pat Webster J: Unknown Jockey T: Pat Webster	170	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Full-brother to Group 3 winner Tailleur. Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 0.5 len at this track on August 27 over 4f on a soft track defeating Runaround Sue with 134lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up ran second last of 11 in a Hcp at Chinchilla on November 8 over 5f, 8 len behind Tijuana Two Step carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Should put in a bold showing on latest run.
5	Returns from a 46-day let-up. At the latest run led but faded 3rd of 8 in a Bm70 at Eagle Farm on July 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Bonfire Spark carrying 125lbs at $20. The run before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Gatton on July 10 over 4 ¼f defeating Sapana's Pearl carrying 133lbs at $3.10. Form has been hard to fault - can make amends. 3rd Pick 5 Diamantina Rose Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Cameron A Richardson J: Courtney Bellamy T: Cameron A Richardson	117	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Returns from a 46-day let-up. At the latest run led but faded 3rd of 8 in a Bm70 at Eagle Farm on July 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Bonfire Spark carrying 125lbs at $20. The run before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Gatton on July 10 over 4 ¼f defeating Sapana's Pearl carrying 133lbs at $3.10. Form has been hard to fault - can make amends.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.