AU - Ipswich - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Very little depth to this maiden so despite being five months between runs MASHEAN (9) is clearly the one to beat at her first run under new trainer Adam Campton. Opened last prep with a placing at Canberra then recorded a peak rating when narrowly defeated over 5 ½f at Goulburn. Recent Gold Coast trial winner who should have a bit on these. OLIVERJOHNNY (3) has been comfortably beaten in his two runs to date, both at Eagle Farm. Finds a race many lengths weaker today so a better result is likely. LUMINOUS GIRL (8) finished ninth but was less than two lengths from the winner in a hectic finish over 5 ½f at Beaudesert last time. Showed pace that day so coming back to this distance should suit. Can run a bold race. ITZAJUNGLEOUTTHERE (7) has been kept fresh since a decent return over this trip at Kilcoy five weeks ago. Sure to be thereabouts. CANDLE IN THE WIND (1) can improve at his second race start with winkers going on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Filly back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Grafton Mdn-Sw February 19 over 5f, 4 len behind Rich Star carrying 125lbs at $2.15. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Canberra Mdn December 5 over 5f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Cool Blaze with 126lbs at $4.20. Looks all set for a positive return. 1st Pick 9 Mashean Jockey: Bella Youngberry Trainer: Adam Campton J: Bella Youngberry T: Adam Campton	167	-	-	-	66%	8/15
Analysis Filly back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Grafton Mdn-Sw February 19 over 5f, 4 len behind Rich Star carrying 125lbs at $2.15. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Canberra Mdn December 5 over 5f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Cool Blaze with 126lbs at $4.20. Looks all set for a positive return.
3	Had two starts to date. At debut, 7th of 11 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 1 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind Our Huntress with 128lbs at $12. Last start 8th of 13 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 7f, 9 len behind Love Rebel with 128lbs at $11. Has plenty of upside and can improve sharply in this weaker maiden. 2nd Pick 3 Oliverjohnny Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Troy Pascoe J: Non Runner T: Troy Pascoe	125	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. At debut, 7th of 11 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 1 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind Our Huntress with 128lbs at $12. Last start 8th of 13 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 7f, 9 len behind Love Rebel with 128lbs at $11. Has plenty of upside and can improve sharply in this weaker maiden.
8	Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 at Beaudesert Mdn on July 7 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Shown The Door with 120lbs at $18. The run before that 5th of 9 at Sunshine Coast Mdn on June 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Gram carrying 121lbs at $9.50. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 8 Luminous Girl Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Jack Bruce J: Cejay Graham T: Jack Bruce	135	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 at Beaudesert Mdn on July 7 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Shown The Door with 120lbs at $18. The run before that 5th of 9 at Sunshine Coast Mdn on June 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Gram carrying 121lbs at $9.50. Capable of sharp improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.