AU - Ipswich - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

8.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.8K

VIEW

Verdict

The maiden stayers kick us off. LOTTERY LINK (5) just ran into one better over this track and trip last time out and looks to be working up to a maiden victory. Gun hoop Rodd sticks in the irons and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Can finally shed the maiden tag against this line-up. SIR ARROGONCE (11) was in the betting when facing the starter for the first time and wasn't disgraced beaten only two lengths in town. Will have derived a stack of benefit from that day at the races and can feature with natural improvement. MAREMOTO (10) brings NSW formlines to the table and any market confidence must be noted. INDAMOUSE (3) gets a stack of weight relief with the 7lbs claim and only needs some luck from the wide draw to be playing a major role in the outcome. KOWLOON MAGNATE (4) has hit the frame at his past four outings and may earn some minor money again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn at this track on August 19 over 1 m, head behind Isla Delilah with 125lbs at $11. The start before that 5th of 8 in a Mdn at Doomben on August 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Had It All carrying 126lbs at $13. Shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 5 Lottery Link Jockey: Michael Rodd Trainer: Robert Heathcote J: Michael Rodd T: Robert Heathcote	175	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn at this track on August 19 over 1 m, head behind Isla Delilah with 125lbs at $11. The start before that 5th of 8 in a Mdn at Doomben on August 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Had It All carrying 126lbs at $13. Shapes as one of the key chances.
11	At debut, 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Doomben on August 26 over 6 ¾f, 2 len behind Welcome Advice carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Leading chance this line-up. 2nd Pick 11 Sir Arrogonce Jockey: Ryan Maloney Trainer: Chris Waller J: Ryan Maloney T: Chris Waller	140	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At debut, 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Doomben on August 26 over 6 ¾f, 2 len behind Welcome Advice carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Leading chance this line-up.
10	Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 1m, long-neck behind Take A Day Off carrying 126lbs at $4.20. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Magic Merlin carrying 126lbs at $3.10. Tough to beat. 3rd Pick 10 Maremoto Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Ben Thompson T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	142	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 1m, long-neck behind Take A Day Off carrying 126lbs at $4.20. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Magic Merlin carrying 126lbs at $3.10. Tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.