AU - Grafton - Race 9

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

8.1f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

SEA WARNING (4) comes back in trip and finds an easier contest with the sharp weight drop. Slow into stride and never looked a genuine contender with a dismal eighth over 1 ¹/16m at Ipswich. Kept fresh and can turn things around. MONTE CARLO MISS (5) third-up she scored a dominant win at Casino. Taken back from the wide gate and launched late from last on the turn with a tough fourth over 7f at the Gold Coast. Well drawn and will take holding out with Baker's 4lbs claim. PRESTIGE ICE (2) is mixing her distances and kept fresh for this. Not that far away in a tight finish with a game sixth over 1 ?m at the Gold Coast. Lone win came at this track and has top-three prospects. RUPESTRIS (3) finds a much easier race from the better gate after tiring in the straight to finish tenth over 7f here. Can race much closer and give a ton of cheek.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently 8th of 11 at Ipswich Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Riez Souvent carrying 132lbs at $26. Before that 4th of 7 at Gold Coast Bm65 on June 27 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Stranglehold with 117lbs at $8. Back in grade and trip and set to atone. 1st Pick 4 Sea Warning Jockey: Anthony Allen Trainer: Allan Chau J: Anthony Allen T: Allan Chau	125	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Most recently 8th of 11 at Ipswich Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Riez Souvent carrying 132lbs at $26. Before that 4th of 7 at Gold Coast Bm65 on June 27 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Stranglehold with 117lbs at $8. Back in grade and trip and set to atone.
5	Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 14 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on July 4 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Keep It Loki carrying 121lbs at $12. Before that came from midfield and won by 4.5 len at Casino Mdn June 25 over 7f in the wet defeating Strenuous with 117lbs at $3.80. Maps well and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 5 Monte Carlo Miss Jockey: Bailie Baker Trainer: Jonny Field J: Bailie Baker T: Jonny Field	152	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 14 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on July 4 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Keep It Loki carrying 121lbs at $12. Before that came from midfield and won by 4.5 len at Casino Mdn June 25 over 7f in the wet defeating Strenuous with 117lbs at $3.80. Maps well and can bounce back.
2	Comes off a 34 day let-up. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on June 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Notes with 126lbs at $3.50. The run before that 4th of 7 at Murwillumbah Cl1-Sw on June 8 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, 2 len behind Sinatra with 122lbs at $1.60. She should be in this for a long way. 3rd Pick 2 Prestige Ice Jockey: Harrison Shaw Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee J: Harrison Shaw T: Stephen & Jordan Lee	108	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Comes off a 34 day let-up. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on June 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Notes with 126lbs at $3.50. The run before that 4th of 7 at Murwillumbah Cl1-Sw on June 8 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, 2 len behind Sinatra with 122lbs at $1.60. She should be in this for a long way.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.