AU - Forbes - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

PANELLI (7) has come back in career-best form for new mentor Gayna Williams. Just missed first-up at Dubbo then relished a step up in trip when a dominant maiden winner over 6 ½f at the same circuit last start. No reason he cannot hold that form in this deeper race. FALSTAFFIAN (2) is the interesting runner. Formerly with Price/Kent and now under the care of Joe Cleary. Scored a big win three back at Geelong then lost his way. The stable likes a bet so keep an eye out for market moves. NIELSEN PARK (5) stalked the pace then went home a shade too well recently in a 6 ¼f Gunnedah maiden. Heading the right way although a poor gate makes things tougher. LUMA LIGHT (3) failed to fire when resuming on a heavy track at Gosford 24 days ago. Has never placed in three first-up runs so no alarm bells. Far better placed this time. WOLF ISLAND (8) caught the eye over 6f at Goulburn last time. Doesn't win out of turn but this looks a suitable assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 12 at Dubbo Super Mdn-Sw on June 28 over 5 ½f, in the wet, head behind The Mailer carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Second-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.5 len at Dubbo Mdn July 13 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Nothing Finer carrying 128lbs at $1.60. Impressed last start. Having a great prep and can keep the ball rolling. 1st Pick 7 Panelli Jockey: Clayton Gallagher Trainer: Gayna Williams J: Clayton Gallagher T: Gayna Williams	126	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 12 at Dubbo Super Mdn-Sw on June 28 over 5 ½f, in the wet, head behind The Mailer carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Second-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.5 len at Dubbo Mdn July 13 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Nothing Finer carrying 128lbs at $1.60. Impressed last start. Having a great prep and can keep the ball rolling.
2	Returns from a 31-day let-up. Last start 10th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 2 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Brullen carrying 133lbs at $15. The run before that ran last of 13 at Morphettville 0-64 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 22 len behind Nicajon with 128lbs at $8. Big market watch at his first run under Joe Cleary. 2nd Pick 2 Falstaffian Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Joe Cleary J: Non Runner T: Joe Cleary	91	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Returns from a 31-day let-up. Last start 10th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 2 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Brullen carrying 133lbs at $15. The run before that ran last of 13 at Morphettville 0-64 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 22 len behind Nicajon with 128lbs at $8. Big market watch at his first run under Joe Cleary.
5	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 7 at Muswellbrook 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 7 over 5f, on a slow track, head behind Sellicks Beach carrying 130lbs at $2.20. Second-up favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Gunnedah Mdn July 20 over 6 ¼f defeating Side Quest with 128lbs at $1.50. Impressed last start. Can go right on with the job now. 3rd Pick 5 Nielsen Park Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Mack Griffith J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Mack Griffith	118	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 7 at Muswellbrook 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 7 over 5f, on a slow track, head behind Sellicks Beach carrying 130lbs at $2.20. Second-up favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Gunnedah Mdn July 20 over 6 ¼f defeating Side Quest with 128lbs at $1.50. Impressed last start. Can go right on with the job now.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.