AU - Forbes - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

5.5f

Class 2

Turf

GOOD 4

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

DAWN ON ME (1) bolted in two runs back in a Class 3 over 5f at the Sapphire Coast. Earned a crack at a Highway after that performance and wasn't disgraced at Rosehill over today's trip, finishing fourth. Finds a lovely race and is very well in after the claim. The speedy KEVIN (2) just failed in his bid to lead all the way first-up over this distance in Dubbo in what has turned out to be a strong form race. Dropped back to 4 ¾f at Cowra last time and they couldn't catch him. Up in grade but will run another bold race. BEDDA MIA (10) comes here fresh from an eight-week let-up. Got a long way back and could only manage third behind Dawn On Me at the Sapphire Coast at the last appearance. Should give a good account from the inside draw. BOLO MISS (7) had been in the top three at 11 of 12 runs before failing in a Rosehill Highway recently. Cannot be sacked after one bad run. WANDAYE (8) might surprise off a six-week let-up.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 13 at Rosehill Highway-C2 on July 18 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 5.5 len behind Sneaky Pee Cee with 121lbs at $7.50. The start before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Sapphire Coast Cl3 June 7 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Noctua with 117lbs at $5. Big chance back to this grade. 1st Pick 1 Dawn On Me Jockey: Jordan Quince Trainer: B Joseph & P & M Jones J: Jordan Quince T: B Joseph & P & M Jones	103	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 13 at Rosehill Highway-C2 on July 18 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 5.5 len behind Sneaky Pee Cee with 121lbs at $7.50. The start before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Sapphire Coast Cl3 June 7 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Noctua with 117lbs at $5. Big chance back to this grade.
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on June 28 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, long-neck behind Torendosetta carrying 125lbs at $12. Last start favourite, won by a neck at Cowra Cl1 July 11 over 4 ¾f in soft going defeating Elderberry Wine carrying 131lbs at $2.15. Progressing nicely this prep and will be in this for a long way. 2nd Pick 2 Kevin Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Brett Robb J: Izzy Neale T: Brett Robb	142	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on June 28 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, long-neck behind Torendosetta carrying 125lbs at $12. Last start favourite, won by a neck at Cowra Cl1 July 11 over 4 ¾f in soft going defeating Elderberry Wine carrying 131lbs at $2.15. Progressing nicely this prep and will be in this for a long way.
10	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 8 at Sapphire Coast Cl3 on June 7 over 5f, slow going 4 len behind Dawn On Me carrying 121lbs at $5. The race before that settled well back, won by 1.0 len at Canberra Acton Mdn May 22 over 5f defeating Xtrascent with 121lbs at $2.35. Makes plenty of appeal. 3rd Pick 10 Bedda Mia Jockey: Rebecca Bronett Prag Trainer: Anthony Mountney J: Rebecca Bronett Prag T: Anthony Mountney	82	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 8 at Sapphire Coast Cl3 on June 7 over 5f, slow going 4 len behind Dawn On Me carrying 121lbs at $5. The race before that settled well back, won by 1.0 len at Canberra Acton Mdn May 22 over 5f defeating Xtrascent with 121lbs at $2.35. Makes plenty of appeal.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.