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3:20 AM

AU - Forbes - Race 3

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
28.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

COLLY BLUE (11) met with good support on debut last start over 5f at Gunnedah and did well to get up for second after being shuffled back through the middle stages of the race. Better for that experience and an extra ½f helps the cause. BADGERS BRIDGE (4) led and looked home only to be nailed near the line last time out over 5f at Warren. Doubt there is much improvement to come at the fifth run of the prep but if she manages to hold her form another big run is on the cards. AZUCAR (1) has made progress at each appearance this prep, the latest offering a close third over 6f at Warren. Needs a bit of luck from the wide alley but cannot be taken lightly. SPEED OF THOUGHT (9) was handy on the turn but tired in the final stages first-up over 5f. Strips fitter and can offer more resistance this time. BRUTAL TO THE MAX (5) has had plenty of chances but might sneak into the top four.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Colly Blue silk

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 7 at Gunnedah Mdn-Sw on July 20 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Bellerata carrying 121lbs at $2.70. Hard to toss with the help of the inside gate.

1st Pick
11

Colly Blue

Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire

Trainer: Mack Griffith

J: Jean Van Overmeire

T: Mack Griffith

136---31%9/4

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 7 at Gunnedah Mdn-Sw on July 20 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Bellerata carrying 121lbs at $2.70. Hard to toss with the help of the inside gate.

4
Badgers Bridge silk

Racing well recently. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Warren Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 5f, on a slow track, head behind Marinera carrying 127lbs at $26. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on July 13 over 5f, slow going 7 len behind Manoora with 126lbs at $41. Perfectly placed this time.

2nd Pick
4

Badgers Bridge

Jockey: Kody Nestor

Trainer: Michael C Lynch

J: Kody Nestor

T: Michael C Lynch

118---19%9/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Warren Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 5f, on a slow track, head behind Marinera carrying 127lbs at $26. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on July 13 over 5f, slow going 7 len behind Manoora with 126lbs at $41. Perfectly placed this time.

1
Azucar silk

Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Warren Ctry Mdn on July 21 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Time To Commit with 125lbs at $14. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Cowra Mdn on July 11 over 4 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Lady Giovanna carrying 127lbs at $10. Looks set for another big run.

3rd Pick
1

Azucar

Jockey: Jess Del Frari

Trainer: Melissa Harrison

J: Jess Del Frari

T: Melissa Harrison

100---10%10/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Warren Ctry Mdn on July 21 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Time To Commit with 125lbs at $14. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Cowra Mdn on July 11 over 4 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Lady Giovanna carrying 127lbs at $10. Looks set for another big run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.