AU - Darwin - Race 9

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.2f

Benchmark

Sand

GOOD

24.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Competitive race but seasoned galloper VILLA SEVENTYNINE (9) should be ready to fire. Well travelled but returns to Darwin where he boasts a great record. Fitter for two runs back and extra trip a plus. Could be value but sure to be ready to fire now. GARRIX (11) is going great guns and will be well fancied. Placed in the Derby two back then placed behind Biden Time last time, who is engaged earlier in the day. In top form and expected to go close. BOLLON (4) is another going well. Two length winner here leading throughout over the mile last time and although yet to win over this trip will be in to for a long way. CRAZY TOWN (3) is coming off a placing in the NT Derby so is not to be underestimated. TENNESSEE WHISKEY (8) has a tricky gate but will give a sight.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last in a small field at this track 0 - 76 on July 4 over 6 ½f, 9 len behind The Girl's Boy with 122lbs at $3.50. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at this track 0 - 66 on July 18 over 1m, 8 len behind Fury with 131lbs at $5. Great record here and can play a major role. 1st Pick 9 Villa Seventynine Jockey: Robbie Dolan Trainer: Gary Clarke J: Robbie Dolan T: Gary Clarke	108	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last in a small field at this track 0 - 76 on July 4 over 6 ½f, 9 len behind The Girl's Boy with 122lbs at $3.50. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at this track 0 - 66 on July 18 over 1m, 8 len behind Fury with 131lbs at $5. Great record here and can play a major role.
11	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 8 at this track 0 - 62 on July 29 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Biden Time carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo SW on July 18 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Leveraged Buyout carrying 128lbs at $21. In top form and expected to go close. 2nd Pick 11 Garrix Jockey: Joe Bowditch Trainer: Michael Hickmott J: Joe Bowditch T: Michael Hickmott	132	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 8 at this track 0 - 62 on July 29 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Biden Time carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo SW on July 18 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Leveraged Buyout carrying 128lbs at $21. In top form and expected to go close.
4	Most recently won by 2 len at this track 0 - 62 July 11 over 1m defeating Barocco Bar carrying 132lbs at $3.90. The race before that ran second last in a small field at this track 0 - 64 on June 20 over 1m, 9 len behind Fields Of Courage carrying 132lbs at $1.70. Flying and will take catching. 3rd Pick 4 Bollon Jockey: Jarrod Todd Trainer: Gary Clarke J: Jarrod Todd T: Gary Clarke	137	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently won by 2 len at this track 0 - 62 July 11 over 1m defeating Barocco Bar carrying 132lbs at $3.90. The race before that ran second last in a small field at this track 0 - 64 on June 20 over 1m, 9 len behind Fields Of Courage carrying 132lbs at $1.70. Flying and will take catching.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.