AU - Darwin - Race 5

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Benchmark

Sand

FIRM

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

The Pollard yard has five of the seven runners. JULY (1) was a big winner fresh then tackled a tougher race last time over a little further and was safely held. This is easier, back in trip and gets a chance to atone. NO I'M NOT (5) is fitter for two runs back, the latest an improved fifth over 5 ½f. The extra ground suits. CARAT TIME (2) doesn't win out of turn and yet to win fresh but does look well placed here on best. Expected to be running on hard. VALKUR (7) has been beaten a fair way in the last few but best form measures up and is worth keeping safe. LADY FIREBALL (4) is a two-start maiden who ran an improved race last time to place. Has upside and although still yet to win one this is not tough.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today. First-up settled well back, won by a long-neck at this track Bm54 February 14 over 6f defeating Rising Fire with 127lbs at $15. Last start second last of 9 at this track 0 - 64 on February 28 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Rossanado carrying 125lbs at $26. Rates highly and expected to do much better. 1st Pick 1 July Jockey: Hannah Le Blanc Trainer: Chris Pollard J: Hannah Le Blanc T: Chris Pollard	261	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up settled well back, won by a long-neck at this track Bm54 February 14 over 6f defeating Rising Fire with 127lbs at $15. Last start second last of 9 at this track 0 - 64 on February 28 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Rossanado carrying 125lbs at $26. Rates highly and expected to do much better.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming ran last of 7 at this track 0 - 58 on February 14 over 5f, 13 len behind Buades with 119lbs at $12. Second run from a spell 5th of 11 at this track Cl2 on February 28 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Ecclestone carrying 117lbs at $61. Well placed in this line-up and can improve. 2nd Pick 5 No I'm Not Jockey: Deborah Barton Trainer: Chris Pollard J: Deborah Barton T: Chris Pollard	104	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming ran last of 7 at this track 0 - 58 on February 14 over 5f, 13 len behind Buades with 119lbs at $12. Second run from a spell 5th of 11 at this track Cl2 on February 28 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Ecclestone carrying 117lbs at $61. Well placed in this line-up and can improve.
2	Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 10 at this track 0 - 58 October 18 over 1m, 6 len behind The Albion with 133lbs at $4.20. First up last campaign ran last of 10 at this track 0 - 58 July 12 over 5f, 11 len behind Alpha Street with 130lbs at $13. Best form measures up and he looks a huge chance. 3rd Pick 2 Carat Time Jockey: Vanessa Arnott Trainer: Jason Manning J: Vanessa Arnott T: Jason Manning	123	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 10 at this track 0 - 58 October 18 over 1m, 6 len behind The Albion with 133lbs at $4.20. First up last campaign ran last of 10 at this track 0 - 58 July 12 over 5f, 11 len behind Alpha Street with 130lbs at $13. Best form measures up and he looks a huge chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.