AU - Darwin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Sand

FIRM

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Like the last race the favourite yet to be proven at the trip. STRAYA PRIDE (3) had been racing very well and was close to a win before a below-par run last time. This is much easier and will handle the trip. Gets a chance to atone. RISING WATER (6) has been runner -up at both runs this time in and looks cherry ripe to break through. Wound up strongly latest over 5 ½f for a close second. Looks hard to beat on that but has been 18 months since a win and unplaced both runs at this journey. Won't get a better chance to correct that. MISS BLACK DIAMOND (2) has the blinkers on for return and looks well placed fresh. Rates strongly and will wind up late. DANGER MAN (4) is another resuming and can run a bold race fresh. MLINZI (5) was well off her best last time and can improve sharply.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Racing well recently. Most recently ran last in a small field at this track Bmnt 72 on March 14 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Prince Ruban with 119lbs at $8. The start before that 2nd in a small field at this track 0 - 58 on March 6 over 6f, 1.0 len behind San Lucido carrying 130lbs at $2.50. Better than last run and can atone. 1st Pick 3 Straya Pride Jockey: Jarrod Todd Trainer: Gary Clarke J: Jarrod Todd T: Gary Clarke	276	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently ran last in a small field at this track Bmnt 72 on March 14 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Prince Ruban with 119lbs at $8. The start before that 2nd in a small field at this track 0 - 58 on March 6 over 6f, 1.0 len behind San Lucido carrying 130lbs at $2.50. Better than last run and can atone.
6	Third-up today. Resuming came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at this track 0 - 58 on February 14 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Buades with 121lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on March 14 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Tigers Roar with 121lbs at $2.90. Ready to win and sure to prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 6 Rising Water Jockey: Aaron Sweeney Trainer: Paul Shiers J: Aaron Sweeney T: Paul Shiers	134	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at this track 0 - 58 on February 14 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Buades with 121lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on March 14 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Tigers Roar with 121lbs at $2.90. Ready to win and sure to prove hard to beat.
2	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second last in a small field at this track 0 - 64 November 28 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Patriotic King carrying 128lbs at $7. First up last campaign second of 8 at this track Cl2 October 18 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Achacha with 127lbs at $6.50. Blinkers on and looks very hard to beat fresh. 3rd Pick 2 Miss Black Diamond Jockey: Hannah Le Blanc Trainer: Tommy Logan J: Hannah Le Blanc T: Tommy Logan	127	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second last in a small field at this track 0 - 64 November 28 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Patriotic King carrying 128lbs at $7. First up last campaign second of 8 at this track Cl2 October 18 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Achacha with 127lbs at $6.50. Blinkers on and looks very hard to beat fresh.

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