AU - Darwin - Race 10

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.2f

OPEN

Sand

GOOD

154.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Fantastic contest as always. Sticking with the progressive now four-year-old LEVERAGED BUYOUT (9). Dominated the three-year-olds including an effortless win in the NT Derby recently and can measure to take the Cup as well. STORMAGEDDON (2) is an SA visitor who charged home second-up here at weight-for-age over a mile to finish a close-up fourth. Ready for the extra ground now. CASINO SEVENTEEN (1) placed in the same race, finishing third. Extra trip a huge plus now and expected to go close. Hard to leave out the tough HADOUKEN (3) who is 3/3 this course and distance and has won this race the last two years. No doubt will be peaking for this again and has to be included. REMATCH (11) was beaten a head by Venting here last time at the mile after winning that trip two back. In great form and expected to run well. Plenty of minor chances as well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track 3yo SW July 18 over 1 ¼m defeating Crazy Town carrying 128lbs at $1.65. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 5 len at this track 3yo SW July 4 over 1m defeating Rivers Of Babylon with 128lbs at $3.50. Derby winner with ease and can measure up again. 1st Pick 9 Leveraged Buyout Jockey: Jade Hampson Trainer: Dick Leech J: Jade Hampson T: Dick Leech	133	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track 3yo SW July 18 over 1 ¼m defeating Crazy Town carrying 128lbs at $1.65. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 5 len at this track 3yo SW July 4 over 1m defeating Rivers Of Babylon with 128lbs at $3.50. Derby winner with ease and can measure up again.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 11 at Morphettville Parks Bm84 on June 6 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 3 len behind Lingani carrying 134lbs at $31. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at this track Wfa on July 11 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Magic Defense carrying 130lbs at $9. Ready to win and shapes as one of the key chances. 2nd Pick 2 Stormageddon Jockey: Joe Bowditch Trainer: Michael Hickmott J: Joe Bowditch T: Michael Hickmott	110	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 11 at Morphettville Parks Bm84 on June 6 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 3 len behind Lingani carrying 134lbs at $31. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at this track Wfa on July 11 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Magic Defense carrying 130lbs at $9. Ready to win and shapes as one of the key chances.
1	Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 12 at this track Wfa on July 11 over 1m, neck behind Magic Defense carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up eased back early on 8th of 10 at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on February 28 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Birdman carrying 126lbs at $41. Fitter for a good return and looks hard to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Casino Seventeen Jockey: Jason Lyon Trainer: Chloe Baxter J: Jason Lyon T: Chloe Baxter	148	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 12 at this track Wfa on July 11 over 1m, neck behind Magic Defense carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up eased back early on 8th of 10 at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on February 28 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Birdman carrying 126lbs at $41. Fitter for a good return and looks hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.