AU - Casino - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

WINCHMAN (1) has returned in good order this preparation. Opened with a narrow second at Ipswich two starts back then scored last time out over this trip at the Gold Coast. Gets an important 7lbs claim and can repeat the dose. DANCE GAVIN DANCE (6) never posed a threat two back in the G3 Gold Coast Guineas but was much better placed last time when finishing third at Murwillumbah. Gets weight off with the slight rise in grade and will appreciate reuniting with Peisley. BAD FOREST (5) didn't threaten at Doomben last time out after a gutsy win the start prior. Mixing his form but is one to consider. BRING ME SAKI (4) has been below his best in his last two but has earlier form that measures up. Draws the A1 and is worth keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 7 at Ipswich Cl3 on May 21 over 5 ½f, in the wet, long-neck behind Bad Forest carrying 130lbs at $5. Second run from a spell won by 0.9 len at Gold Coast Cl3-Sw June 13 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Hi Tiago carrying 129lbs at $4.60. Rates highly. Going well and can win again. 1st Pick 1 Winchman Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: Paul Shailer J: Archie Mccolm T: Paul Shailer	155	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 7 at Ipswich Cl3 on May 21 over 5 ½f, in the wet, long-neck behind Bad Forest carrying 130lbs at $5. Second run from a spell won by 0.9 len at Gold Coast Cl3-Sw June 13 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Hi Tiago carrying 129lbs at $4.60. Rates highly. Going well and can win again.
6	At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Murwillumbah Ctry Bm58 on June 8 over 5f, in the wet, 1.2 len behind Deep Stealth carrying 137lbs at $2.50. The race before that ran last of 14 at Gold Coast in the G3 Gc Guineas on May 9 over 6f, 12 len behind Beadman with 126lbs at $151. Nice effort last time. Key chance expected to feature. 2nd Pick 6 Dance Gavin Dance Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Owen Glue J: Danny Peisley T: Owen Glue	130	-	-	-	39%
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Murwillumbah Ctry Bm58 on June 8 over 5f, in the wet, 1.2 len behind Deep Stealth carrying 137lbs at $2.50. The race before that ran last of 14 at Gold Coast in the G3 Gc Guineas on May 9 over 6f, 12 len behind Beadman with 126lbs at $151. Nice effort last time. Key chance expected to feature.
5	Most recently led to the turn then faded ran second last of 10 at Doomben Bm65 on June 3 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Excenia with 123lbs at $21. The start before that won by a long-neck at Ipswich Cl3 May 21 over 5 ½f in the wet defeating Winchman carrying 120lbs at $16. Can make amends for a modest effort last time. 3rd Pick 5 Bad Forest Jockey: Olivia Kendal Trainer: Jesse Townsend J: Olivia Kendal T: Jesse Townsend	123	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently led to the turn then faded ran second last of 10 at Doomben Bm65 on June 3 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Excenia with 123lbs at $21. The start before that won by a long-neck at Ipswich Cl3 May 21 over 5 ½f in the wet defeating Winchman carrying 120lbs at $16. Can make amends for a modest effort last time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.