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7:20 AM

AU - Carnarvon - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Dirt
GOOD
14.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AARDVARK (1) dropped a level last start and went whack, scoring a strong victory when on the speed throughout at this track and trip. This shapes similarly and he in fact drops in grade for today's assignment. Carries the big weight but deserves to and can repeat the dose. LET'S SEA (7) has switched yards since finishing seventh five weeks ago over 7f at this track. Expect him to pose a serious challenge. INCANDESCENT LADY (8) has been out of the placings in two runs since a break, the latest when fifth, beaten 2.5 lengths, over 6f at York after she was in the firing line on the turn. Should be peaking now and is among the leading chances. MARS MISSION (2) did a good job last time, finishing in the money when second over 6f at this track. Going well without winning and is too good to ignore. HOT PUDDIN (6) is better than he showed last start and can return to this level with a bang.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Aardvark silk

Last start won by 1.2 len at this track Rtg 64+ May 30 over 6f defeating Mars Mission with 127lbs at $3.70. The run before that 6th of 12 at Pinjarra 0Mwly on May 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Changing Guard with 127lbs at $12. Well placed. Can repeat the dose.

1st Pick
1

Aardvark

Jockey: Kate Pateman

Trainer: Aaron Pateman

J: Kate Pateman

T: Aaron Pateman

177---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start won by 1.2 len at this track Rtg 64+ May 30 over 6f defeating Mars Mission with 127lbs at $3.70. The run before that 6th of 12 at Pinjarra 0Mwly on May 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Changing Guard with 127lbs at $12. Well placed. Can repeat the dose.

7
Let's Sea silk

Returns from a 34-day let-up. Most recently eased back early on 7th of 10 at this track Rtg 54+ on May 16 over 7f, 4 len behind Dream Illusion with 126lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 7 at Geraldton Rtg 58+ on April 30 over 1m, 6 len behind Patchwork with 127lbs at $13. Terrific chance to find winning form.

2nd Pick
7

Let's Sea

Jockey: Giaan O'donnell

Trainer: Rick Evans

J: Giaan O'donnell

T: Rick Evans

83---15%6/1

Analysis

Returns from a 34-day let-up. Most recently eased back early on 7th of 10 at this track Rtg 54+ on May 16 over 7f, 4 len behind Dream Illusion with 126lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 7 at Geraldton Rtg 58+ on April 30 over 1m, 6 len behind Patchwork with 127lbs at $13. Terrific chance to find winning form.

8
Incandescent Lady silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Freshened for 36 days. Resuming failed to make an impression, 5th of 8 at York on April 6 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Scream carrying 128lbs at $21. Last start faded in the straight 5th of 10 at York on May 14 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Diamonds'n'rubies carrying 123lbs at $21. Nicely placed and is among the leading contenders third-up.

3rd Pick
8

Incandescent Lady

Jockey: Tara Atherden

Trainer: Ken Nightingale

J: Tara Atherden

T: Ken Nightingale

71---7%14/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Freshened for 36 days. Resuming failed to make an impression, 5th of 8 at York on April 6 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Scream carrying 128lbs at $21. Last start faded in the straight 5th of 10 at York on May 14 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Diamonds'n'rubies carrying 123lbs at $21. Nicely placed and is among the leading contenders third-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.