AU - Carnarvon - Race 2

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Dirt

GOOD

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

RIVER BEAUTY (7) turned in a better effort last start over this track and trip and gets a slight gear change to help keep her on course. The inside draw this time looks a big tick for her and if she can run up to her most recent figure, she'll be hard to hold out. REINCARNATED (4) wasn't far away on debut last start over 6f at York, finishing fifth and beaten 4 lengths. Open to sharp improvement and can get off the mark this time. CORNERBACK (1) resumes from a spell of four months. Could only manage to finish sixth at the latest run over 1m at Strathalbyn. Rates highly and is a chance to break through. THE SESSIONE (3) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 6f at this track when finishing eighth. Nicely placed to find some form. SO I THOUGHT (6) is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start 4th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 30 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Violent with 117lbs at $9.50. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 16 over 5f, 13 len behind Hell's Citi with 123lbs at $12. Making headway. Rates highly and finds the right race today. 1st Pick 7 River Beauty Jockey: Jason Li Trainer: Ray Malpass J: Jason Li T: Ray Malpass	114	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 30 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Violent with 117lbs at $9.50. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 16 over 5f, 13 len behind Hell's Citi with 123lbs at $12. Making headway. Rates highly and finds the right race today.
4	At debut, did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at York on May 14 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Himizu with 131lbs at $5.50. Solid on debut and can go to the next level now with the blinkers going on. 2nd Pick 4 Reincarnated Jockey: Kate Pateman Trainer: Aaron Pateman J: Kate Pateman T: Aaron Pateman	118	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At debut, did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at York on May 14 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Himizu with 131lbs at $5.50. Solid on debut and can go to the next level now with the blinkers going on.
1	Resuming today after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw February 18 over 1m, 8 len behind Pretty Perky with 126lbs at $21. When resuming last campaign second last of 11 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw November 2 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind African Diamond carrying 127lbs at $31. Expecting a solid return in his new surroundings. 3rd Pick 1 Cornerback Jockey: Elisha Whittington Trainer: Malcolm Mackenzie J: Elisha Whittington T: Malcolm Mackenzie	85	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Resuming today after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw February 18 over 1m, 8 len behind Pretty Perky with 126lbs at $21. When resuming last campaign second last of 11 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw November 2 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind African Diamond carrying 127lbs at $31. Expecting a solid return in his new surroundings.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.