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5:47 AM

AU - Carnarvon - Race 2

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Maiden
Dirt
GOOD
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RIVER BEAUTY (7) turned in a better effort last start over this track and trip and gets a slight gear change to help keep her on course. The inside draw this time looks a big tick for her and if she can run up to her most recent figure, she'll be hard to hold out. REINCARNATED (4) wasn't far away on debut last start over 6f at York, finishing fifth and beaten 4 lengths. Open to sharp improvement and can get off the mark this time. CORNERBACK (1) resumes from a spell of four months. Could only manage to finish sixth at the latest run over 1m at Strathalbyn. Rates highly and is a chance to break through. THE SESSIONE (3) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 6f at this track when finishing eighth. Nicely placed to find some form. SO I THOUGHT (6) is in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
River Beauty silk

Last start 4th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 30 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Violent with 117lbs at $9.50. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 16 over 5f, 13 len behind Hell's Citi with 123lbs at $12. Making headway. Rates highly and finds the right race today.

1st Pick
7

River Beauty

Jockey: Jason Li

Trainer: Ray Malpass

J: Jason Li

T: Ray Malpass

114---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 4th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 30 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Violent with 117lbs at $9.50. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track Mdn on May 16 over 5f, 13 len behind Hell's Citi with 123lbs at $12. Making headway. Rates highly and finds the right race today.

4
Reincarnated silk

At debut, did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at York on May 14 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Himizu with 131lbs at $5.50. Solid on debut and can go to the next level now with the blinkers going on.

2nd Pick
4

Reincarnated

Jockey: Kate Pateman

Trainer: Aaron Pateman

J: Kate Pateman

T: Aaron Pateman

118---25%3/1

Analysis

At debut, did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at York on May 14 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Himizu with 131lbs at $5.50. Solid on debut and can go to the next level now with the blinkers going on.

1
Cornerback silk

Resuming today after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw February 18 over 1m, 8 len behind Pretty Perky with 126lbs at $21. When resuming last campaign second last of 11 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw November 2 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind African Diamond carrying 127lbs at $31. Expecting a solid return in his new surroundings.

3rd Pick
1

Cornerback

Jockey: Elisha Whittington

Trainer: Malcolm Mackenzie

J: Elisha Whittington

T: Malcolm Mackenzie

85---13%7/1

Analysis

Resuming today after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw February 18 over 1m, 8 len behind Pretty Perky with 126lbs at $21. When resuming last campaign second last of 11 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw November 2 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind African Diamond carrying 127lbs at $31. Expecting a solid return in his new surroundings.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.