AU - Canberra Acton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.4f

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

HO ALOHA (9) gets back on top of the ground today, missing by 1.6L at Hawkesbury last start on a soft deck. This shapes as an easier assignment and her run two back in country grade was strong. Can knock over her maiden today despite the tricky barrier. THREE WISHES (10) got well back last start at Muswellbrook when first-up but closed off nicely over 5f. She'll be better for that effort and things look to work out nicely for her second-up. Expecting a forward showing. TERRA LUMINA (4) is racing well at provincial level and has plenty of upside coming back to country grade today. He'll need a touch of luck in the run, but his recent form stacks up and he's sure to be in the finish. WILD ROMEO (6) showed glimpses in his debut campaign and can return on a positive note. TROFEO (5) won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Racing well recently. Comes off a 50 day let-up. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury F&M Mdn-Sw on June 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind Scuro Star carrying 128lbs at $12. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Nowra Mdn on May 24 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Don't What Me carrying 127lbs at $6. Back to country level now and she can knock over her maiden victory. 1st Pick 9 Ho Aloha Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: David Pfieffer J: Jean Van Overmeire T: David Pfieffer	230	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes off a 50 day let-up. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury F&M Mdn-Sw on June 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind Scuro Star carrying 128lbs at $12. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Nowra Mdn on May 24 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Don't What Me carrying 127lbs at $6. Back to country level now and she can knock over her maiden victory.
10	Second-up. First-up after five months from last on the turn 5th of 7 at Muswellbrook 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Sellicks Beach with 126lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Gosford Mid 4yo+ Mdn on February 11 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Showtime Shadow with 126lbs at $8.50. Fitter now and she can improve quickly. 2nd Pick 10 Three Wishes Jockey: Louise Day Trainer: Jarrod Austin J: Louise Day T: Jarrod Austin	82	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months from last on the turn 5th of 7 at Muswellbrook 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Sellicks Beach with 126lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Gosford Mid 4yo+ Mdn on February 11 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Showtime Shadow with 126lbs at $8.50. Fitter now and she can improve quickly.
4	Racing well recently. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Hawkesbury Mid 3yo+ Mdn on July 2 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Spare carrying 123lbs at $5. The run before that 4th of 8 at Newcastle Mdn on June 13 over 4 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Alabama Hammer with 125lbs at $5.50. Making headway. Back to country grade and can be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 4 Terra Lumina Jockey: Jess Taylor Trainer: Jason Coyle J: Jess Taylor T: Jason Coyle	79	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Hawkesbury Mid 3yo+ Mdn on July 2 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Spare carrying 123lbs at $5. The run before that 4th of 8 at Newcastle Mdn on June 13 over 4 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Alabama Hammer with 125lbs at $5.50. Making headway. Back to country grade and can be in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.