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Resulted

AU - Cairns - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
4.7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
16.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JUST A DUCHESS (7) has changed stables and returns from an 82-day break. Did a reasonable job to be beaten just over four lengths on debut at Doomben to launch the last prep. Trialled well recently and looks set to make an immediate impact for the new yard. SMART 'N' LOUD (4) has not appeared since showing pace then hanging on well for third on debut over this course and distance on 12 March. Capable of taking this out with a bit of natural improvement expected. ANY NEWS (1) returns from a 15-week break. Beaten a long neck here at today's journey at his latest appearance. Opened last prep with a placing so expect he will be up for this. Market watch on WATEGO'S BAY (9) lining up for the first time. LILSISTERDON'TCHA (5) has raced handy but not quite found the line as hoped in her last couple of longer trips at Mackay. Can improve dropping back in distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Just A Duchess silk

Resuming after a 12 weeks break. Not seen since she finished last of 10 at Eagle Farm in the LR Dalrello May 2 over 5f, on heavy track, 20 len behind The Next Episode carrying 121lbs at $201. On debut ninth of 11 at Doomben 2yo Mdn-Sw April 15 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Hidden Whisper with 123lbs at $31. Finds an easier race to launch this prep.

1st Pick
7

Just A Duchess

Jockey: Ben Kennedy

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Ben Kennedy

T: Georgina Holt

142---29%

Analysis

Resuming after a 12 weeks break. Not seen since she finished last of 10 at Eagle Farm in the LR Dalrello May 2 over 5f, on heavy track, 20 len behind The Next Episode carrying 121lbs at $201. On debut ninth of 11 at Doomben 2yo Mdn-Sw April 15 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Hidden Whisper with 123lbs at $31. Finds an easier race to launch this prep.

3
Monday Close silk

Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd in a small field at Townsville 2yo Mdn on June 28 over 6f, slow going neck behind Heart Of Vienna carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Townsville 2yo Mdn on June 16 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Vierata with 126lbs at $41. Shapes as one of the key chances.

2nd Pick
3

Monday Close

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tasha Chambers

J: Non Runner

T: Tasha Chambers

174---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd in a small field at Townsville 2yo Mdn on June 28 over 6f, slow going neck behind Heart Of Vienna carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Townsville 2yo Mdn on June 16 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Vierata with 126lbs at $41. Shapes as one of the key chances.

4
Smart 'n' Loud silk

Resuming after a break, only one run when raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Carlando with 128lbs at $6. Key chance on his return.

3rd Pick
4

Smart 'n' Loud

Jockey: Masayuki Abe

Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe

J: Masayuki Abe

T: Trevor & Peter Rowe

70---25%

Analysis

Resuming after a break, only one run when raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Carlando with 128lbs at $6. Key chance on his return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.