AU - Barcaldine - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SHOALWATER BAY (1) was in the money on the dirt at Longreach two runs ago then backed it up with a win, also on dirt, at Alpha over 1 ¹/16m nine days ago. Has a decent record at this track and is right in this contest. RUN FREDA RUN (11) tasted defeat last start when fourth over 1 ¹/16m at Alpha, beaten 5.5 lengths. Placed to advantage so expect a better run from the low draw. HOWSE (10) missed the placings two runs back then was never in contention last start when 6 lengths away in seventh over 1m at Emerald. Best figures measure up nicely and is sure to run well with the 4lbs weight relief. DIVINE COURAGE (6) has placed over this track and trip and may trouble the judge with any luck in running.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run favourite, won by 4.5 len at Alpha Bm55 June 27 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Gregarious carrying 137lbs at $3. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Longreach Bm60 on June 15 over 1m, neck behind Schmoozer carrying 131lbs at $6. Rates highly and should feature in the finish. 1st Pick 1 Shoalwater Bay Jockey: Kayla Barker Trainer: Bevan Johnson J: Kayla Barker T: Bevan Johnson	177	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 4.5 len at Alpha Bm55 June 27 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Gregarious carrying 137lbs at $3. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Longreach Bm60 on June 15 over 1m, neck behind Schmoozer carrying 131lbs at $6. Rates highly and should feature in the finish.
11	Last start 4th of 10 at Alpha Bm55 on June 27 over 1 ¹/16m, 5.5 len behind Shoalwater Bay carrying 128lbs at $3.50. The run before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Longreach Bm60 on June 15 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Schmoozer carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Great chance to atone. 2nd Pick 11 Run Freda Run Jockey: Michael Heagney Trainer: Patrick O'toole J: Michael Heagney T: Patrick O'toole	139	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 10 at Alpha Bm55 on June 27 over 1 ¹/16m, 5.5 len behind Shoalwater Bay carrying 128lbs at $3.50. The run before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Longreach Bm60 on June 15 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Schmoozer carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Great chance to atone.
10	At the latest run 7th of 12 at Emerald 0 - 55 on June 29 over 1m, 6 len behind Shiny Love carrying 128lbs at $7.50. The race before that 4th of 13 at Mackay 0 - 55 on June 11 over 7 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Yorokobi carrying 125lbs at $26. Has ability and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 10 Howse Jockey: Samantha Pointon Trainer: Bevan Johnson J: Samantha Pointon T: Bevan Johnson	98	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 12 at Emerald 0 - 55 on June 29 over 1m, 6 len behind Shiny Love carrying 128lbs at $7.50. The race before that 4th of 13 at Mackay 0 - 55 on June 11 over 7 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Yorokobi carrying 125lbs at $26. Has ability and can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.