Hornets vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 6

Hornets vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Spectrum Center -- Charlotte, North Carolina
• Coverage: FDSSUN and FDSSE

The Miami Heat (34-29) will try to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the Charlotte Hornets (32-31) at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 6, 2026 as 8-point underdogs. The Hornets have won six games in a row. The matchup has an over/under set at 229.5 points.

Hornets vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Hornets vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Hornets win (67.1%)

Hornets vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Hornets have covered the spread 40 times in 63 games with a set spread.
• The Heat are 37-25-1 against the spread this season.
• This season, 24 of the Hornets' games have gone over the point total.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 33 of 63 set point totals (52.4%).
• Charlotte has a worse record against the spread in home games (18-11-1) than it does on the road (22-11-0).
• In home games, the Hornets eclipse the over/under 30% of the time (nine of 30 games). They hit the over more often in road games, eclipsing the total in 45.5% of games (15 of 33).
• This year, Miami is 18-13-0 at home against the spread (.581 winning percentage). On the road, it is 19-12-1 ATS (.594).
• In terms of the over/under, Heat games have finished over less often at home (16 of 31, 51.6%) than on the road (17 of 32, 53.1%).

Hornets Leaders

• Kon Knueppel's numbers on the season are 19.2 points, 5.5 boards and 3.4 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 43.6% from beyond the arc (ninth in league), with an average of 3.5 made treys (second in league).
• LaMelo Ball averages 19.2 points, 4.8 boards and 7.3 assists, shooting 39.9% from the field and 36.4% from downtown, with 3.5 made treys per game (second in league).
• Miles Bridges is averaging 17.6 points, 6 rebounds and 3.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Brandon Miller is averaging 20.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Moussa Diabate averages 8.4 points, 8.7 boards and 1.8 assists, shooting 64.6% from the floor.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo's numbers on the season are 18.7 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He is also sinking 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.6 triples.
• The Heat receive 15.2 points per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr., plus 5.3 rebounds and 4.6 assists.
• Per game, Andrew Wiggins gives the Heat 15.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 1 block.
• The Heat receive 11.4 points per game from Kel'el Ware, plus 9.5 boards and 0.6 assists.
• The Heat receive 8.7 points per game from Davion Mitchell, plus 2.6 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

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