Home Run Props Today: Who Are Saturday's Best Home Run Picks?

Today's Top Home Run Picks at a Glance

• Max Muncy (+400)
• Wyatt Langford (+520)
• Bryce Harper (+340)

Across all of sports, few things are more exciting than the long ball.

That translates to the prop market, too, where each crack of the bat can get our heart pumping.

Using our MLB projections as a guide, which home run props stand out for today's MLB action? Also, you can check out our MLB player news page to stay up to date with lineup news and injuries.

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Home Run Picks, Props and Predictions Today

Home Run Prediction: Max Muncy (+400)

Dodgers at Tigers, 1:11 p.m. ET

Max Muncy is up to 26 home runs this season, and the Los Angeles Dodgers‘ slugger draws the platoon advantage against Detroit Tigers right-hander Keider Montero.

Muncy has done considerable damage against right-handed pitching, posting a .248 ISO and 135 wRC+ in the split. The matchup also gives him a chance to get the ball in the air, as Montero has generated only a modest strikeout rate and has allowed a relatively high percentage of fly balls.

Muncy's combination of patience and pull-side power gives him the chance to lift one out of the yard on Saturday.

Home Run Prediction: Wyatt Langford (+520)

Rangers at Brewers, 7:16 p.m. ET

Wyatt Langford is an intriguing home run bet against Milwaukee Brewers left-hander Shane Drohan.

Langford has hit 15 home runs this season while producing a .205 ISO and 128 wRC+, giving him plenty of power even though injuries have limited his overall volume.

The matchup is the biggest reason to target him. Drohan owns a 3.84 ERA entering Saturday, and right-handed hitters have accounted for all nine home runs he has allowed this season. Righties have also produced a 40.7% fly-ball rate against him, so Langford should have a favorable opportunity to do damage from the heart of the Texas Rangers‘ lineup.

Home Run Prediction: Bryce Harper (+340)

Phillies at Angels, 10:08 p.m. ET

Bryce Harper is a strong home run target against Los Angeles Angels right-hander Ryan Johnson.

Harper enters Saturday with 27 home runs, a .267 average and a .507 slugging percentage this season, and he has gone deep five times in August alone.

The matchup is the biggest selling point. Johnson owns a 5.75 ERA across 67.1 innings and has already surrendered 16 home runs this season. Left-handed hitters have taken him deep nine times in just 38.1 innings while posting a .447 slugging percentage against him.

Harper gets the platoon advantage and remains one of the Philadelphia Phillies biggest power threats, making this a favorable spot for him to add another home run.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.