Heat vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 14

Heat vs. Pistons Game Info

• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage:

The Detroit Pistons (8-3) visit the Miami Heat (6-6) after winning three straight road games. The Pistons are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 227.5 points.

Heat vs. Pistons Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Pistons Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pistons win (68.6%)

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Trends

• The Pistons have covered the spread seven times this season (7-4-0).
• The Heat are 3-9-0 against the spread this season.
• Pistons games have gone over the total six times out of 12 chances this season.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on five of 12 set point totals (41.7%).
• Detroit has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in five games when playing at home, and it has covered four times in six games when playing on the road.
• The Pistons have eclipsed the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in three of five home matchups (60%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of six games (50%).
• This season, Miami is 2-3-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). Away, it is 1-6-0 ATS (.143).
• Looking at the over/under, Heat games have gone over more often at home (three of five, 60%) than on the road (two of seven, 28.6%).

Pistons Leaders

• Cade Cunningham's numbers on the season are 25.0 points, 5.2 rebounds and 7.9 assists per contest, shooting 48.5% from the field and 31.4% from downtown, with an average of 2.0 made treys.
• Ausar Thompson averages 10.1 points, 8.7 boards and 5.1 assists, shooting 49.4% from the floor.
• Duncan Robinson's numbers on the season are 18.1 points, 1.9 boards and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 45.5% from the field and 43.7% from downtown, with an average of 4.1 made treys (third in league).
• Paul Reed's numbers on the season are 11.5 points, 7.7 boards and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 56.4% from the field (ninth in NBA).
• Daniss Jenkins is averaging 13.5 points, 4.3 assists and 3.8 rebounds.

Heat Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 28.5 points, 12.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He is also sinking 58.3% of his shots from the field (seventh in league).
• Per game, Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 19.4 points, 8.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists. He also averages 2.0 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.7 blocks.
• Per game, Davion Mitchell provides the Heat 16.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 9.2 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• The Heat are getting 11.4 points, 3.5 boards and 3.5 assists per game from Pelle Larsson.
• Per game, Klay Thompson gives the Heat 14.4 points, 1.5 boards and 1.9 assists, plus 0.2 steals and 0.7 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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