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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Oct. 28

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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Oct. 28

Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
  • Coverage:

The Miami Heat (0-4) will try to end a four-game losing streak when they hit the road to play the Atlanta Hawks (2-2) on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at State Farm Arena as 3.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on Atlanta Hawks. The over/under in the matchup is set at 239.5.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Favorite
Spread
Total
Favorite Moneyline
Underdog Moneyline
Hawks-3.5239.5-148+126

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Hawks win (65.4%)

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • The Hawks went 44-38-0 ATS last season.
  • The Heat went 13-12-1 as underdogs of 3.5 points or more last season.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 41 times in Hawks games.
  • There were 48 Heat games (out of 82) that hit the over last year.
  • Atlanta covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games last season. Atlanta covered 21 times in 41 games when playing at home, and it covered 23 times in 41 games on the road.
  • Miami had the same winning percentage against the spread (.561) at home (23-18-0 record) and on the road (23-17-1) last season.

Hawks Leaders

  • Jalen Johnson put up 22.5 points, 10.3 boards and 7.9 assists last year. He also drained 48.9% of his shots from the field and 35.2% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per game.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker's numbers last season were 20.8 points, 3.4 boards and 3.7 assists per game. He sank 45.9% of his shots from the field and 39.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 3.2 treys (sixth in league).
  • Dyson Daniels' numbers last season were 11.9 points, 6.8 boards and 5.9 assists per contest. He sank 51.7% of his shots from the field.
  • Onyeka Okongwu recorded 15.2 points, 7.6 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game, plus 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocks.
  • CJ McCollum's numbers last season were 18.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. He sank 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.5 triples.

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo's numbers last season were 20.1 points, 10.0 boards and 3.2 assists per game, shooting 44.2% from the floor and 31.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
  • Andrew Wiggins put up 15.4 points, 4.8 boards and 2.7 assists last year, shooting 47.5% from the floor and 41.4% from downtown, with 2.0 made treys per contest.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo collected 27.6 points last season, plus 5.4 assists and 9.8 boards.
  • Bobby Portis Jr.'s stats last season were 13.7 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 45.6% from downtown (second in league), with an average of 2.0 made treys.
  • Davion Mitchell posted 9.3 points, 2.7 boards and 6.5 assists, shooting 49.0% from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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