Guardians vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALCS Game 3 on Oct. 15

Odds updated as of 11:11 p.m.

The Cleveland Guardians versus the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 3 of the ALCS is on the MLB schedule for Thursday.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Guardians vs Rays Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians (85-77) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Progressive Field -- Cleveland, Ohio
• Coverage: TBS, truTV, and HBO Max

Guardians vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: CLE: (-130) | TB: (+110)
• Spread: CLE: -1.5 (+172) | TB: +1.5 (-205)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)

Guardians vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Gavin Williams (Guardians) - 14-8, 3.76 ERA vs Griffin Jax (Rays) - 8-10, 3.28 ERA

The Guardians will look to Gavin Williams (14-8, 3.76 ERA) against the Rays and Griffin Jax (8-10, 3.28 ERA). Williams' team is 15-16-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Williams' team has a record of 15-11 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Rays are 11-11-0 ATS in Jax's 22 starts that had a set spread. The Rays have been the moneyline underdog in six of Jax's starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those games.

Guardians vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Guardians win (50.2%)

Guardians vs Rays Moneyline

• The Guardians vs Rays moneyline has Cleveland as a -130 favorite, while Tampa Bay is a +110 underdog on the road.

Guardians vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are at the Guardians, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Rays are +172 to cover the spread, and the Guardians are -205.

Guardians vs Rays Over/Under

• Guardians versus Rays on Oct. 15 has an over/under of 6.5 runs, with the odds on the over -118 and the under set at -104.

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Guardians vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Guardians have won in 50, or 53.2%, of the 94 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Cleveland has been victorious 32 times in 57 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The Guardians and their opponents have hit the over in 78 of their 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 159 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 77-82-0 against the spread.
• The Rays have compiled a 28-24 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 53.8% of those games).
• Tampa Bay has an 11-11 record (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
• The Rays have played in 164 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-85-2).
• The Rays have an 87-77-0 record against the spread this season.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Chase DeLauter leads Cleveland in total hits (142) this season while batting .287 with 49 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .363 and a slugging percentage of .457.
• He is 16th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and 43rd in slugging among qualified hitters in the majors.
• DeLauter has recorded a base hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .289 with three doubles, two home runs, eight walks and six RBIs.
• Steven Kwan has a slash line of .282/.382/.349 this season and a team-best OPS of .731.
• His batting average is 21st among qualified players, his on-base percentage seventh, and his slugging percentage 131st.
• Kwan brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .256 with a triple, eight walks and two RBIs.
• Jose Ramirez has collected 111 base hits, an OBP of .320 and a slugging percentage of .368 this season.
• Ramirez has picked up a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with a double, a triple, two home runs, two walks and eight RBIs.
• Brayan Rocchio is batting .253 with a .313 OBP and 73 RBI for Cleveland this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has racked up 170 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .276 and slugging .524 with an on-base percentage of .360.
• He ranks 33rd in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage and sixth in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in MLB.
• Caminero takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Yandy Diaz's .446 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .293 with an on-base percentage of .359.
• Including all qualified players, he ranks 10th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage.
• Liam Hicks a has .367 on-base percentage to pace the Rays.
• Chandler Simpson is hitting .306 with 16 doubles, six triples and 26 walks.

Guardians vs Rays Head to Head

• 10/13/2026: 3-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -128, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 10/12/2026: 7-3 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +148)
• 7/26/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/25/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/24/2026: 11-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/28/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/27/2026: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/7/2025: 2-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 9/6/2025: 3-2 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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