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Grand Mo the First: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff

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Grand Mo the First: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.

Grand Mo the First was on the bubble during the Road to the Kentucky Derby and sets up as a long shot ahead of the Kentucky Derby.

Grand Mo the First Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position

Grand Mo the First's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 50-1 (+5000), tied for 18th-best in the field.

Grand Mo the First drew post position 16.

Post
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
ML Odds
1DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez20-1
2Sierra LeoneChad BrownTyler Gaffalione3-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez20-1
4Catching FreedomBrad CoxFlavien Prat8-1
5CatalyticSaffie Joseph, Jr.Jose Ortiz30-1
6Just SteelD. Wayne LukasKeith Asmussen20-1
7Honor MarieWhit BeckmanBen Curtis20-1

Grand Mo the First Horse Trainer and Jockey

Trainer Victor Barboza Jr. ranked 33rd in total wins in 2023 and makes his Kentucky Derby debut in 2024 with Grand Mo the First.

Jockey Emisael Jaramillo raced in the Derby once prior and rode Grand Mo the First to a 3rd at the Curlin Florida Derby in late March.

Grand Mo the First Race History

Grand Mo the First has two wins in six races and has not finished outside the money in any start thus far.

Speed Scores via Equibase.

Date
Track
Race
Finish
Speed Score
3/30/2024Gulfstream ParkCurlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa (Gr. 1)386
3/9/2024Tampa BayLambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (Gr. 3)382
2/3/2024Gulfstream ParkSwale Stakes (Listed)386
10/8/2023Santa AnitaZuma Beach Stakes (Gr. 3)391
9/1/2023Gulfstream ParkAllowance Optional Claiming182
8/6/2023Gulfstream ParkMaiden Special Weight174

Grand Mo the First Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick

Although Grand Mo the First has two wins and has finished in the money in all six starts, he has a max Speed Score of 91, which is the second-lowest top output for any of the 18 horses in the field with Speed Score data entering the 150th Kentucky Derby.

A huge deviation in the positive sense for Grand Mo the First might be necessary for him to threaten.

Post 16 has a 7.8% win rate at the Derby, the 8th-highest clip. The last winner was Animal Kingdom (2011).


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