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Florida vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 3

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Florida vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 3

The Florida Gators (9-4, 0-0 SEC) will try to continue a four-game winning streak when they visit the Missouri Tigers (10-3, 0-0 SEC) on January 3, 2026 at Mizzou Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Missouri Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Columbia, Missouri
  • Arena: Mizzou Arena

Florida vs. Missouri Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (60.1%)

Before making a bet on Saturday's Florida-Missouri spread (Florida -7.5) or over/under (154.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Florida vs. Missouri: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Florida has compiled a 5-8-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Missouri has won five games against the spread this year, while failing to cover eight times.
  • Florida covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 30% of the time. That's more often than Missouri covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • Against the spread last season, the Gators performed better when playing at home, covering 11 times in 16 home games, and six times in 10 road games.
  • In 2024-25 against the spread, the Tigers had a better winning percentage at home (.579, 11-8-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).

Florida vs. Missouri: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Florida has won in five of the seven contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Gators have come away with a win five times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -319 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Missouri has been listed as the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and it lost both games.
  • The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +255 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 76.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Florida vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Florida is outscoring opponents by 14.7 points per game with a +191 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.1 points per game (60th in college basketball) and allows 70.4 per contest (111th in college basketball).
  • Thomas Haugh paces Florida, averaging 16.7 points per game (142nd in the country).
  • Missouri has a +160 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.3 points per game. It is putting up 83.8 points per game, 74th in college basketball, and is giving up 71.5 per contest to rank 138th in college basketball.
  • Mark Mitchell paces Missouri, averaging 17.2 points per game (113th in college basketball).
  • The Gators come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 17.7 boards. They are recording 43.8 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 26.1 per outing.
  • Rueben Chinyelu averages 11.1 rebounds per game (ranking seventh in college basketball) to lead the Gators.
  • The Tigers rank 170th in the country at 33.5 rebounds per game. That's 7.4 more than the 26.1 their opponents average.
  • Mitchell's 5.8 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 342nd in the nation.
  • Florida ranks 101st in college basketball by averaging 101.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 40th in college basketball, allowing 84.1 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Tigers rank 46th in college basketball with 106.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 146th defensively with 90.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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