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Fantasy Football Buy Low Running Backs: RB Breakout Candidates for Week 10

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Fantasy Football Buy Low Running Backs: RB Breakout Candidates for Week 10

Buy-Low Running Backs at a Glance

  • Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  • Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams
  • Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals

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Whether you're deciding who to start in season-long, who to roster in NFL DFS, or which NFL prop bets to consider via the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, there are still plenty of ways to buy low on players poised to bounce back from disappointing outings.

While looking ahead at the games across the NFL, which running backs should we buy low on ahead of this week?

All fantasy football projections via our numbers at FanDuel Research, and NFL odds references are to FanDuel Sportsbook. Statistics mentioned are via NextGenStats or Pro Football Focus unless stated otherwise.

Running Backs to Buy Low in Fantasy Football

Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders

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Total Points

Nov 15 9:06pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

The rushing efficiency has been putrid for Ashton Jeanty as he has mustered just 362 yards and one touchdown on 114 carries (3.2 yards per rush) for the Las Vegas Raiders. That ugly rushing output, plus a sharp reduction in carries in recent weeks, could have his fantasy manager ready to move on.

But Jeanty remains a top-notch pass-catcher: his 42 receptions and 371 receiving yards through nine games lead all running backs, and he has scored three receiving touchdowns. He has at least six targets in all but two games, and he’s made eight catches across the last two games even while not handling as many carries.

The declining ground-game role is a legitimate risk, yet that kind of receiving production gives him an especially compelling buy-low case in PPR leagues.

Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams

Moneyline

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Total Points

Nov 15 9:06pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

A modest two-game stretch could create a buying window for Kyren Williams, who has totaled 101 rushing yards and one touchdown over his last two outings.

The Los Angeles Rams are giving Blake Corum meaningful work, but Williams still owns 127 carries for 593 yards and six rushing scores, along with 36 receptions for 258 yards and another touchdown.

His 4.7 yards per carry on the season indicates that his recent quiet games are not representative of his overall efficiency, and with the Rams banged up across the offensive skill positions, they may be a run-heavy offense for the next few weeks.

The timeshare caps his ceiling, but his established scoring and receiving role in a productive offense make him a worthwhile trade target if his manager is focusing on the latest box scores.

Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals

Any Time Touchdown Scorer

The touchdown column has been brutal for Chase Brown, who has just one rushing score and no receiving touchdowns through eight games with the Cincinnati Bengals. He has also averaged only 3.8 yards per carry, so a manager frustrated by his lack of explosive rushing production could be willing to trade him.

The encouraging part is his pass-game involvement: Brown has caught 39 passes on 45 targets, including 11 catches in Week 4 and eight in Week 8. Plus, the TDs should come at some point given how well Joe Burrow is playing.

That dependable receiving workload gives Brown a useful PPR floor, and even modest touchdown improvement could help him outperform a discounted trade cost down the stretch — as long as Cincy doesn’t add a RB at the deadline.


Fantasy Football Buy-Low Running Backs FAQ

What does buy low mean in fantasy football?

Buying low means trading for a player whose perceived fantasy value is lower than his expected value going forward. This can happen because of a slow start, difficult matchups, injuries, or concerns about workload.

When is the best time to buy low on a running back?

The best opportunities often come after a running back has produced a few disappointing fantasy performances but still has an encouraging role. Usage, carries, targets, snap rate, and goal-line opportunities can be more important than the player's recent fantasy-point totals.

What should you look for in a buy-low running back?

Look for backs with strong workloads who haven't converted their opportunities into fantasy production. Receiving usage, red-zone touches, offensive-line play, upcoming schedule, and potential changes to the backfield can also help identify undervalued players.

Should you trade for a running back who is losing touches?

It depends on why his workload is declining. A temporary reduction caused by game script or injury may create a buying opportunity, but a permanent shift toward a committee can significantly lower a running back's fantasy ceiling.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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