FanDuel MLB DFS Picks and Helper: Saturday 7/13/24

Our daily fantasy helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and give you a starting point when you're building lineups.

Be sure to incorporate our MLB DFS projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- into your research process. numberFire also has the latest starting lineups and weather as well as heat maps to help you find the best matchups.

Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

MLB DFS Picks

Pitcher Breakdown

On today's eight-game main slate spanning the middle of the day, only three pitchers have salaries in the five figures: Grayson Rodriguez ($10,800), Seth Lugo ($10,600), and Luis Gil ($10,200). There are actually only three more in each of the $9,000 and $8,000 tiers, too.

So it's a gradual drop off -- but also a few bigger arms. Who stands out?

Projections-wise, it's Rodriguez (a slate-best 34.9 projected FanDuel points) in a matchup against the New York Yankees. New York owns only a 99 wRC+ against RHP the last 30 days with a roughly average K% (22.2%). Lugo and Gil project for 28.0 points apiece, so while they're not poor plays, they aren't in the same tier as Rodriguez.

Further, numberFire's model is high on Andrew Abbott ($9,300) against the Miami Marlins; Abbott is projected for 33.1 FanDuel points. The southpaw gets a great matchup, as Miami ranks 28th in the MLB in wRC+ against LHP the last 30 days (66) while also sitting third in K% (28.5%).

Christian Scott ($7,900) is another way to get away from the top arms by salary in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies. Colorado is 26th in wRC+ the last 30 days versus RHP (93) while holding a top-10 K% (23.6%) in the split. Scott's 4.35 SIERA should be enough to hold them down in this matchup.

Gavin Williams ($6,700) is a bit of a bet against the rest of the arms on the main slate. If none of them put up a monster game, then Williams could possibly match their production at a fraction of the salary. He's facing a Tampa Bay Rays team that is top-10 in K% (against RHP this season) while sitting 21st in wRC+ (94). He holds a 16.7% strikeout rate in 9.1 innings this season but was at 23.5% across 82.0 frames in 2023.

Stacks to Target

With high-salaried pitchers not being a super high priority, allocating salary to stacks is a lot easier today than most.

• Philadelphia Phillies (5.38 implied total) -- Mitch Spence is 15th in hard-hit rate and 13th in called-strike-plus-whiff rate (CSW%) on the main slate; Phillies have a 118 wRC+ the last 30 days vs. RHP.
• Cincinnati Reds (4.95) -- Edward Cabrera holds a 6.84 ERA and a 4.66 xERA and has a 13.2% walk rate; Cincinnati has the second-best implied total of the main slate.
• New York Mets (4.66) -- League-best 137 wRC+ and .226 ISO the last 30 days vs. RHP. Ryan Feltner is 12th in K% and 11th in xERA on the main slate.
• Baltimore Orioles (4.73) -- Facing a fly-ball pitcher who is 9th in SIERA on the main slate; O's have a 125 wRC+ the last 30 days vs. righties.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.