NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Saturday 5/11/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Saturday 5/11/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Betting lines via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Projections and betting odds may change after this article is published.

Team
Opp
O/U
Spread
Implied Total
Injuries
CLEBOS211.58101.75Allen, Wade questionable
OKCDAL2182.5107.75
BOSCLE211.5-8109.75Porzingis OUT
DALOKC218-2.5110.25Doncic questionable / Kleber OUT

Guards

Luka Doncic ($11,600): At his lowest salary this month, Doncic is today's top option with a 59.0 fantasy projection after breaking out in Game 2. In 337 playoff minutes, the Mavericks' superstar leads his team in fantasy production (1.29 FanDuel points per minute) and usage (33.3%).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($10,800): After recording an eye-popping 1.62 FanDuel points per minutes this series, the 25-year old is second overall with a 47.6 fantasy projection. In four previous meetings when logging at least 37 minutes, Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 27.5 real-life points and 57.7 FanDuel points.

Donovan Mitchell ($9,500): Since May 3rd, Mitchell has been on fire, recording 1.32 FanDuel points per minute and 51.9 FanDuel points per contest. "Spida" has been able to score despite facing a challenging Boston Celtics' defense, accounting for 30.5 real-life points in this matchup.

Kyrie Irving ($8,300): At his lowest playoff salary, Irving could offer enormous return, ranking third overall in value with a 5.16 rating and a 42.9 fantasy projection. In 318 minutes this postseason, the veteran has produced 1.06 FanDuel points per minute and a 24.1% usage rate.

Jalen Williams ($7,600): Oklahoma City's second-year emerging star has continued to perform well on a big stage, recording 1.04 FanDuel points per playoff minute and 38.5 FanDuel points per game.

Derrick White ($6,500): After a noticeable 7.1% salary drop, White is eighth among guards in value with a 4.75 rating and a 30.9 fantasy projection. In 1179 minutes with today's rotation, Boston's guard is third among his team's first unit in fantasy production (1.03 FanDuel points per minute) and usage (21.7%).

Jrue Holiday ($5,700): Despite recording a 13.4% usage rate in the postseason, Holiday is still today's top value option with a 6.03 rating and a 34.4 fantasy projection.

Caris LeVert ($5,200): Cleveland's sixth man has played much better in his last three appearances, accounting for 0.99 FanDuel points per minute and 26.8 FanDuel points per game.

Tim Hardaway Jr. ($4,200): After Game 2's impressive performance, the veteran should continue seeing minutes in this series while logging 0.71 FanDuel points per minute in this split.

Payton Pritchard($4,100): In 43 playoff minutes against Cleveland, Pritchard has provided efficient production when on the floor, accounting for 1.13 FanDuel points per minute.

Forwards

Jayson Tatum ($9,700): The Celtics' star has been fairly solid in Round 2, ranking first among his team's starting five in fantasy production (1.26 FanDuel points per minute) and usage (29.0%). At his second lowest postseason salary, Tatum could be due for an explosion when examining his metrics with today's rotation (1.37 FanDuel points per minute, 33.4% usage rate).

Evan Mobley ($8,300): Since Jarrett Allen was unable play on April 30th, Mobley has accounted for 41.0 FanDuel points per game while his salary has increased by 7.7%.

Jaylen Brown ($7,800): At his lowest playoff salary after a 7.1% decrease, Brown is fifth among forwards in value with a 4.67 rating and a 36.5 fantasy projection. In 65 minutes this series, the 27-year old has accounted for 1.05 FanDuel points per minute and a fruitful 29.5% usage rate.

PJ Washington ($6,700): Even with some inconsistency this postseason, Washington has still produced 0.82 FanDuel points per minute and 28.4 FanDuel points per game.

Al Horford ($5,600): Boston's big is sixth among his position in value with a 4.47 rating and a 25.0 fantasy projection after accounting for 0.76 FanDuel points per playoff minute versus Cleveland.

Luguentz Dort ($4,800): Due to his consistent defensive presence, Dort has played a key role in Oklahoma City's playoff rotation, logging 33.2 minutes and 20.4 FanDuel points per game.

Max Strus ($4,500): Despite accounting for a 12.1% usage rate this series, Strus is still considered an optimal option, ranking fourth overall with a 5.15 value rating and a 23.2 fantasy projection.

Derrick Jones Jr. ($4,000): In 233 playoff minutes, Jones Jr. has accounted for 0.64 FanDuel points per minute and a 13.3% usage rate.

Centers

Chet Holmgren ($7,800): Oklahoma City's center is second among his team in fantasy production (1.10 FanDuel points per minute) and third in usage (22.4%) during the postseason.

Daniel Gafford ($5,700): Even at his highest salary this series, the 25-year old could be sneaky, recording 0.97 FanDuel points per playoff minute.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.